Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Frasers Property Limited (TQ5.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.76 - $1.22$0.97
Multi-Stage$3.51 - $3.88$3.70
Blended Fair Value$2.33
Current Price$1.02
Upside128.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.90%-3.37%0.050.050.030.020.010.030.060.060.060.06
YoY Growth--0.00%50.00%50.00%78.46%-58.23%-58.05%0.26%0.23%0.18%0.17%
Dividend Yield--4.41%4.84%3.33%2.15%0.99%2.31%3.78%3.87%3.03%4.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)291.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)176.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)114.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58.2236.3921.83
Cash Retained (M)114.42114.42114.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-58.22-36.39-21.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)56.2078.0492.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,926.043,926.043,926.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.060.07
WACC / Discount Rate4.48%4.48%4.48%
Growth Rate-3.10%-2.10%-1.10%
Fair Value$0.76$0.97$1.22
Upside / Downside-25.62%-5.31%19.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)291.10284.98279.00273.14267.41261.79269.65
Payout Ratio60.69%66.55%72.42%78.28%84.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)176.67189.67202.04213.81224.99235.61249.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.48%4.48%4.48%
Growth Rate-3.10%-2.10%-1.10%
Year 1 PV (M)179.69181.54183.40
Year 2 PV (M)181.34185.10188.90
Year 3 PV (M)181.80187.49193.29
Year 4 PV (M)181.24188.84196.68
Year 5 PV (M)179.81189.28199.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,895.4513,574.7214,282.33
Equity Value (M)13,799.3314,506.9715,243.74
Shares Outstanding (M)3,926.043,926.043,926.04
Fair Value$3.51$3.70$3.88
Upside / Downside244.59%262.26%280.66%

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