Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Thai Mitsuwa Public Company Limited (TMW.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,137.00 - $2,641.30$2,475.28
Multi-Stage$388.25 - $425.11$406.34
Blended Fair Value$1,440.81
Current Price$52.25
Upside2,657.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.19%13.21%4.151.700.900.461.782.802.551.321.051.00
YoY Growth--144.12%88.89%95.65%-74.16%-36.43%9.80%93.18%25.71%5.00%-16.67%
Dividend Yield--8.35%2.78%2.37%1.33%4.78%7.47%3.97%2.04%2.52%3.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)529.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)144.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)385.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)105.9266.2039.72
Cash Retained (M)385.57385.57385.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-105.92-66.20-39.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)279.65319.37345.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.8839.8839.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.018.018.67
LTM Dividend per Share3.613.613.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.018.018.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.6211.6212.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,137.00$2,475.28$2,641.30
Upside / Downside2,076.09%4,637.38%4,955.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)529.61564.04600.70639.74681.33725.61747.38
Payout Ratio27.20%39.76%52.32%64.88%77.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)144.04224.25314.28415.06527.62653.05691.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)208.61210.59212.57
Year 2 PV (M)271.98277.16282.39
Year 3 PV (M)334.15343.74353.52
Year 4 PV (M)395.15410.35425.98
Year 5 PV (M)454.99476.97499.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,817.4614,484.8515,177.78
Equity Value (M)15,482.3416,203.6516,952.01
Shares Outstanding (M)39.8839.8839.88
Fair Value$388.25$406.34$425.11
Upside / Downside643.07%677.69%713.61%

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