Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. (MOFG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$79.44 - $283.83$131.92
Multi-Stage$51.02 - $55.75$53.34
Blended Fair Value$92.63
Current Price$28.29
Upside227.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.54%12.99%0.790.730.710.690.680.550.460.390.350.30
YoY Growth--8.50%2.33%4.12%0.75%23.52%20.36%18.29%10.17%15.34%30.32%
Dividend Yield--2.68%3.20%2.93%2.07%2.20%2.63%1.60%1.16%1.03%1.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.697.314.38
Cash Retained (M)39.5039.5039.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.69-7.31-4.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.8132.1935.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.8220.8220.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.341.551.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.341.551.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.252.462.60
WACC / Discount Rate8.48%8.48%8.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$79.44$131.92$283.83
Upside / Downside180.81%366.32%903.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58.4662.2666.3170.6275.2180.1082.50
Payout Ratio32.44%43.95%55.46%66.98%78.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.9627.3636.7847.3059.0372.0976.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.48%8.48%8.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)24.9925.2225.46
Year 2 PV (M)30.6731.2531.84
Year 3 PV (M)36.0137.0538.10
Year 4 PV (M)41.0442.6244.24
Year 5 PV (M)45.7747.9850.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)883.48926.15970.46
Equity Value (M)1,061.961,110.271,160.38
Shares Outstanding (M)20.8220.8220.82
Fair Value$51.02$53.34$55.75
Upside / Downside80.34%88.54%97.05%

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