Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Kohl's Corporation (KSS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.55 - $10.09$8.86
Multi-Stage$12.67 - $13.89$13.27
Blended Fair Value$11.06
Current Price$16.27
Upside-32.00%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-12.10%-3.50%1.961.952.121.300.963.743.543.263.173.09
YoY Growth--0.91%-7.95%62.59%36.11%-74.47%5.75%8.70%2.79%2.58%10.09%
Dividend Yield--26.19%8.05%9.60%2.25%1.63%21.22%5.12%5.16%8.12%6.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)194.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)98.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)96.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.8024.2514.55
Cash Retained (M)96.0096.0096.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.80-24.25-14.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)57.2071.7581.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)113.00113.00113.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.630.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.870.870.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.630.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.371.501.59
WACC / Discount Rate11.02%11.02%11.02%
Growth Rate-6.08%-5.08%-4.08%
Fair Value$7.55$8.86$10.09
Upside / Downside-53.62%-45.55%-37.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)194.00184.15174.80165.93157.50149.51153.99
Payout Ratio50.52%58.41%66.31%74.21%82.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)98.00107.57115.91123.13129.31134.56142.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.02%11.02%11.02%
Growth Rate-6.08%-5.08%-4.08%
Year 1 PV (M)95.8796.8997.91
Year 2 PV (M)92.0794.0496.04
Year 3 PV (M)87.1789.9992.86
Year 4 PV (M)81.6085.1388.77
Year 5 PV (M)75.6779.7984.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)999.111,053.441,110.11
Equity Value (M)1,431.491,499.281,569.77
Shares Outstanding (M)113.00113.00113.00
Fair Value$12.67$13.27$13.89
Upside / Downside-22.14%-18.45%-14.62%

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