Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$159.26 - $442.89$247.03
Multi-Stage$118.30 - $129.31$123.70
Blended Fair Value$185.37
Current Price$148.93
Upside24.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.26%7.98%2.262.142.021.911.911.751.631.441.261.15
YoY Growth--5.62%5.87%5.87%0.00%9.14%7.31%13.07%14.52%9.02%10.09%
Dividend Yield--1.51%1.21%1.33%1.05%1.16%1.07%1.11%0.90%1.22%1.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)480.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)166.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)313.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)96.1160.0736.04
Cash Retained (M)313.86313.86313.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-96.11-60.07-36.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)217.75253.79277.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.0073.0073.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.983.483.81
LTM Dividend per Share2.282.282.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.983.483.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.275.766.09
WACC / Discount Rate8.43%8.43%8.43%
Growth Rate4.96%5.96%6.96%
Fair Value$159.26$247.03$442.89
Upside / Downside6.94%65.87%197.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)480.54509.16539.49571.62605.66641.73660.98
Payout Ratio34.69%45.75%56.81%67.87%78.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)166.69232.94306.49387.98478.09577.56611.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.43%8.43%8.43%
Growth Rate4.96%5.96%6.96%
Year 1 PV (M)212.81214.84216.86
Year 2 PV (M)255.81260.71265.65
Year 3 PV (M)295.84304.38313.08
Year 4 PV (M)333.04345.92359.17
Year 5 PV (M)367.57385.41403.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,171.167,519.367,880.96
Equity Value (M)8,636.239,030.619,439.66
Shares Outstanding (M)73.0073.0073.00
Fair Value$118.30$123.70$129.31
Upside / Downside-20.57%-16.94%-13.18%

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