Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dekpol S.A. (DEK.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$613.49 - $2,690.82$1,463.71
Multi-Stage$309.71 - $338.98$324.07
Blended Fair Value$893.89
Current Price$83.60
Upside969.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%2.490.000.000.000.000.001.180.530.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%122.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.26%1.21%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)113.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.6314.148.49
Cash Retained (M)93.1693.1693.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.63-14.14-8.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)70.5379.0284.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.368.368.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.439.4510.13
LTM Dividend per Share2.392.392.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.439.4510.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.8211.8412.52
WACC / Discount Rate7.36%7.36%7.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$613.49$1,463.71$2,690.82
Upside / Downside633.84%1,650.85%3,118.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)113.15120.50128.33136.68145.56155.02159.67
Payout Ratio17.66%32.13%46.60%61.07%75.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.9938.7259.8083.46109.95139.52147.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.36%7.36%7.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)35.7236.0636.40
Year 2 PV (M)50.9151.8852.86
Year 3 PV (M)65.5667.4469.36
Year 4 PV (M)79.6982.7585.91
Year 5 PV (M)93.3197.81102.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,264.732,374.122,487.70
Equity Value (M)2,589.932,710.082,834.72
Shares Outstanding (M)8.368.368.36
Fair Value$309.71$324.07$338.98
Upside / Downside270.46%287.65%305.48%

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