Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Baskent Dogalgaz Dagitim Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (BASGZ.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$896.50 - $1,056.23$989.84
Multi-Stage$192.60 - $210.77$201.52
Blended Fair Value$595.68
Current Price$38.32
Upside1,454.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS37.04%0.00%3.352.141.240.320.800.691.040.460.000.00
YoY Growth--56.62%72.32%282.98%-59.44%15.27%-33.40%127.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--12.38%11.64%9.65%2.35%8.26%7.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,717.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,400.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,317.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)743.54464.72278.83
Cash Retained (M)1,317.551,317.551,317.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-743.54-464.72-278.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)574.00852.831,038.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)700.00700.00700.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.821.221.48
LTM Dividend per Share3.433.433.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.821.221.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.254.654.91
WACC / Discount Rate5.89%5.89%5.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$896.50$989.84$1,056.23
Upside / Downside2,239.51%2,483.10%2,656.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,717.723,959.374,216.734,490.824,782.725,093.605,246.41
Payout Ratio64.56%69.65%74.74%79.82%84.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,400.172,757.633,151.423,584.764,061.114,584.244,852.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.89%5.89%5.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,579.702,604.162,628.61
Year 2 PV (M)2,757.872,810.402,863.42
Year 3 PV (M)2,934.673,018.913,104.76
Year 4 PV (M)3,110.123,229.733,352.75
Year 5 PV (M)3,284.233,442.863,607.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)120,152.72125,956.14131,981.68
Equity Value (M)134,819.31141,062.20147,538.77
Shares Outstanding (M)700.00700.00700.00
Fair Value$192.60$201.52$210.77
Upside / Downside402.61%425.88%450.03%

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