Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Azzas 2154 S.A. (AZZA3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$90.43 - $226.53$135.82
Multi-Stage$62.32 - $68.11$65.16
Blended Fair Value$100.49
Current Price$30.15
Upside233.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.71%6.50%0.320.180.410.000.150.540.400.760.160.24
YoY Growth--82.04%-56.75%0.00%-100.00%-71.42%35.51%-47.96%373.31%-33.18%40.26%
Dividend Yield--1.32%0.28%0.64%0.00%0.22%1.46%0.78%1.52%0.51%1.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)753.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)118.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)634.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)150.6494.1556.49
Cash Retained (M)634.43634.43634.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-150.64-94.15-56.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)483.79540.28577.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)186.16186.16186.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.602.903.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.640.640.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.602.903.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.243.543.74
WACC / Discount Rate9.28%9.28%9.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$90.43$135.82$226.53
Upside / Downside199.94%350.47%651.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)753.18802.13854.27909.80968.941,031.921,062.88
Payout Ratio15.77%30.61%45.46%60.31%75.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)118.75245.56388.35548.67728.19928.73983.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.28%9.28%9.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)222.60224.71226.82
Year 2 PV (M)319.14325.22331.35
Year 3 PV (M)408.74420.47432.43
Year 4 PV (M)491.76510.68530.13
Year 5 PV (M)568.56596.03624.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,590.4310,053.6610,534.61
Equity Value (M)11,601.2512,130.7612,679.88
Shares Outstanding (M)186.16186.16186.16
Fair Value$62.32$65.16$68.11
Upside / Downside106.69%116.13%125.91%

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