Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Aussie Broadband Limited (ABB.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.53 - $2.21$1.86
Multi-Stage$2.57 - $2.82$2.69
Blended Fair Value$2.27
Current Price$3.91
Upside-41.85%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.847.404.44
Cash Retained (M)35.6335.6335.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.84-7.40-4.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.7928.2331.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)281.13281.13281.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate8.83%8.83%8.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.53$1.86$2.21
Upside / Downside-60.99%-52.51%-43.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.2158.6258.0457.4656.8856.3158.00
Payout Ratio39.83%49.86%59.90%69.93%79.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.5929.2334.7640.1845.4950.6853.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.83%8.83%8.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)26.5926.8627.13
Year 2 PV (M)28.7629.3529.95
Year 3 PV (M)30.2431.1832.13
Year 4 PV (M)31.1432.4333.76
Year 5 PV (M)31.5633.2034.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)573.47603.33634.43
Equity Value (M)721.76756.35792.31
Shares Outstanding (M)281.13281.13281.13
Fair Value$2.57$2.69$2.82
Upside / Downside-34.34%-31.19%-27.92%

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