Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Acadian Asset Management (AAMI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.51 - $17.26$14.90
Multi-Stage$65.49 - $72.87$69.10
Blended Fair Value$42.00
Current Price$48.16
Upside-12.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-47.04%0.00%0.040.050.030.080.300.981.161.061.051.06
YoY Growth---25.00%66.67%-58.62%-73.39%-69.72%-15.29%9.54%0.78%-0.52%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.16%0.24%0.14%0.33%1.46%15.36%8.39%7.02%6.94%7.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)86.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.5610.986.59
Cash Retained (M)86.4086.4086.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.56-10.98-6.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)68.8475.4379.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.6736.6736.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.882.062.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.882.062.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.922.102.21
WACC / Discount Rate4.82%4.82%4.82%
Growth Rate-9.10%-8.10%-7.10%
Fair Value$12.51$14.90$17.26
Upside / Downside-74.03%-69.06%-64.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87.8080.6974.1568.1462.6257.5459.27
Payout Ratio1.59%19.28%36.96%54.64%72.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.4015.5527.4037.2345.2851.7954.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.82%4.82%4.82%
Growth Rate-9.10%-8.10%-7.10%
Year 1 PV (M)14.6814.8415.00
Year 2 PV (M)24.4024.9425.49
Year 3 PV (M)31.2832.3333.40
Year 4 PV (M)35.9137.5239.18
Year 5 PV (M)38.7540.9343.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,256.582,383.472,516.00
Equity Value (M)2,401.602,534.022,672.27
Shares Outstanding (M)36.6736.6736.67
Fair Value$65.49$69.10$72.87
Upside / Downside35.99%43.49%51.31%

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