Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

AME Elite Consortium Berhad (5293.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.30 - $1.90$1.59
Multi-Stage$2.29 - $2.52$2.40
Blended Fair Value$2.00
Current Price$1.55
Upside28.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.070.050.040.030.020.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--40.00%42.50%31.25%33.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.52%3.07%2.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)109.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.9513.728.23
Cash Retained (M)65.0265.0265.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.95-13.72-8.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.0751.3056.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)639.09639.09639.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate8.34%8.34%8.34%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.30$1.59$1.90
Upside / Downside-16.00%2.74%22.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)109.75108.66107.57106.49105.43104.37107.51
Payout Ratio40.76%50.61%60.46%70.30%80.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.7454.9965.0374.8784.5093.9499.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.34%8.34%8.34%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)50.2450.7651.27
Year 2 PV (M)54.2955.4056.53
Year 3 PV (M)57.1158.8760.68
Year 4 PV (M)58.8961.3363.85
Year 5 PV (M)59.8262.9366.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,185.481,247.211,311.48
Equity Value (M)1,465.821,536.501,609.98
Shares Outstanding (M)639.09639.09639.09
Fair Value$2.29$2.40$2.52
Upside / Downside47.97%55.11%62.53%

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