Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

2S Metal Public Company Limited (2S.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.25 - $17.02$7.25
Multi-Stage$3.23 - $3.53$3.38
Blended Fair Value$5.31
Current Price$2.20
Upside141.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.65%11.25%0.190.300.250.480.060.110.130.100.100.05
YoY Growth---36.67%22.23%-48.57%733.32%-50.00%-11.89%32.41%0.00%80.00%-16.67%
Dividend Yield--8.80%9.74%7.82%9.09%1.18%8.36%6.81%3.00%2.18%3.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.819.885.93
Cash Retained (M)18.5418.5418.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.81-9.88-5.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.738.6612.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)550.00550.00550.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.130.13
WACC / Discount Rate7.49%7.49%7.49%
Growth Rate4.65%5.65%6.65%
Fair Value$4.25$7.25$17.02
Upside / Downside93.03%229.42%673.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.0483.5188.2393.2298.49104.06107.18
Payout Ratio76.54%79.24%81.93%84.62%87.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.5066.1772.2878.8885.9993.6599.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.49%7.49%7.49%
Growth Rate4.65%5.65%6.65%
Year 1 PV (M)60.9861.5662.14
Year 2 PV (M)61.3962.5663.75
Year 3 PV (M)61.7363.5265.34
Year 4 PV (M)62.0264.4266.89
Year 5 PV (M)62.2465.2768.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,468.331,539.831,614.10
Equity Value (M)1,776.681,857.161,940.64
Shares Outstanding (M)550.00550.00550.00
Fair Value$3.23$3.38$3.53
Upside / Downside46.83%53.49%60.38%

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