Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

The Timken Company (TKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.27 - $70.28$56.12
Multi-Stage$53.52 - $58.57$55.99
Blended Fair Value$56.06
Current Price$75.18
Upside-25.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.51%0.62%1.371.341.301.311.241.211.221.181.161.24
YoY Growth--2.23%2.51%-0.54%5.98%2.47%-0.93%2.88%2.08%-6.21%-3.65%
Dividend Yield--1.90%1.52%1.59%2.16%1.52%3.73%2.68%2.70%2.57%3.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)297.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)199.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.4637.1622.30
Cash Retained (M)199.50199.50199.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.46-37.16-22.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)140.04162.34177.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.391.391.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.383.703.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Fair Value$44.27$56.12$70.28
Upside / Downside-41.11%-25.35%-6.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)297.30305.64314.21323.03332.09341.40351.64
Payout Ratio32.90%44.32%55.74%67.16%78.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.80135.45175.13216.94260.95307.26325.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Year 1 PV (M)122.41123.61124.81
Year 2 PV (M)143.03145.86148.71
Year 3 PV (M)160.11164.88169.74
Year 4 PV (M)174.05180.99188.14
Year 5 PV (M)185.21194.48204.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,980.433,129.713,284.92
Equity Value (M)3,765.243,939.534,120.44
Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
Fair Value$53.52$55.99$58.57
Upside / Downside-28.81%-25.52%-22.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 77 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
EFN-PA.TOElement Fleet Management Corp.1.77%$0.4438.48%
RMS.AXRamelius Resources Limited1.77%$0.0712.68%
RSTIP.MERosseti, Public Joint Stock Company1.77%$0.025.65%
TRIThomson Reuters Corporation1.77%$2.2457.46%
UFOE.JKPT Damai Sejahtera Abadi Tbk1.77%$3.2616.08%
002073.SZMesnac Co., Ltd.1.76%$0.1431.34%
068290.KSSamsung Publishing Co., Ltd1.76%$199.5321.01%
0EWR.Linit innovation in traffic systems SE1.76%$0.8047.67%
300923.SZYeal Electric Co.,Ltd1.76%$0.4571.34%
600019.SSBaoshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd.1.76%$0.1329.23%
600176.SSChina Jushi Co., Ltd.1.76%$0.3034.66%
603225.SSXinfengming Group Co., Ltd.1.76%$0.3448.02%
7269.TSuzuki Motor Corporation1.76%$41.0219.60%
7556.TWOYeedex Electronic Corporation1.76%$2.9043.54%
AWRD.STAwardit AB (publ)1.76%$2.3082.26%
AXSAXIS Capital Holdings Limited1.76%$1.8414.40%
KCR.HEKonecranes Plc1.76%$1.6533.86%
SY1.DESymrise AG1.76%$1.2033.09%
VINTE.MXVinte Viviendas Integrales, S.A.B. de C.V.1.76%$0.5714.97%
002350.KSNexen Tire Corporation1.75%$130.258.28%
003019.SZTES Touch Embedded Solutions (Xiamen) Co., Ltd.1.75%$0.5854.54%
300951.SZShenzhen Bsc Technology Co.,Ltd.1.75%$0.6051.92%
301156.SZShanghai Menon Animal Nutrition Technology Co., Ltd.1.75%$0.3173.33%
3242.TUrbanet Corporation Co.,Ltd.1.75%$10.029.72%
603045.SSFuda Alloy Materials Co.,Ltd1.75%$0.3478.02%
7512.TAeon Hokkaido Corporation1.75%$15.9769.82%
ICC.BKI.C.C. International Public Company Limited1.75%$0.4329.50%
IMD.AXImdex Limited1.75%$0.0637.34%
KRI.ATKri-Kri Milk Industry S.A.1.75%$0.3541.81%
PEAB-B.STPeab AB (publ)1.75%$1.5126.14%
SIMP.JKPT Salim Ivomas Pratama Tbk1.75%$10.008.73%
001820.KSSAMWHA CAPACITOR Co.,LTD1.74%$525.0939.85%
006260.KSLS Corp.1.74%$3,619.1044.44%
006880.KSSingsong Holdings Co.,Ltd.1.74%$119.6228.35%
030520.KQHancom Inc.1.74%$409.9476.57%
243070.KQHuons Co., Ltd.1.74%$475.6315.69%
300488.SZEST Tools Co., Ltd1.74%$0.5763.18%
300787.SZAnfu CE LINK Limited1.74%$0.2056.29%
316140.KSWoori Financial Group Inc.1.74%$487.0211.05%
603817.SSFujian Haixia Environmental Protection Group Co.,Ltd.1.74%$0.1232.99%
603885.SSJuneyao Airlines Co., Ltd1.74%$0.2676.13%
688566.SSJiangsu Jibeier Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.1.74%$0.5242.91%
CRLA.PACaisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel du Languedoc Société coopérative1.74%$1.417.62%
IVG.MIIveco Group N.V.1.74%$0.3327.33%
LTX.WALentex S.A.1.74%$0.1231.81%
MICE.JKPT Multi Indocitra Tbk1.74%$10.0013.08%
1334.HKRuichang Intl1.73%$0.0276.84%
4689.TLY Corporation1.73%$7.2024.40%
603926.SSZhejiang Tieliu Clutch Co., Ltd.1.73%$0.3066.82%
688533.SSSuzhou Sonavox Electronics Co., Ltd.1.73%$0.5045.54%