Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $778,297.74 - $1,518,986.22 | $1,071,722.37 |
| Multi-Stage | $652,157.16 - $711,601.21 | $681,342.43 |
| Blended Fair Value | $876,532.40 | |
| Current Price | $451,500.00 | |
| Upside | 94.14% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 6.86% | 18.63% | 16,021.99 | 13,826.78 | 12,022.50 | 8,800.22 | 8,500.22 | 11,500.18 | 10,000.20 | 6,117.67 | 5,228.69 | 4,695.94 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 15.88% | 15.01% | 36.62% | 3.53% | -26.09% | 15.00% | 63.46% | 17.00% | 11.35% | 61.80% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 4.48% | 4.53% | 5.84% | 4.02% | 4.47% | 7.47% | 3.24% | 2.26% | 1.95% | 1.59% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,990,667.81 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 809,299.28 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,181,368.53 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 398,133.56 | 248,833.48 | 149,300.09 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,181,368.53 | 1,181,368.53 | 1,181,368.53 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -398,133.56 | -248,833.48 | -149,300.09 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 783,234.97 | 932,535.06 | 1,032,068.45 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 42.51 | 42.51 | 42.51 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 18,424.72 | 21,936.84 | 24,278.25 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 19,037.86 | 19,037.86 | 19,037.86 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 18,424.72 | 21,936.84 | 24,278.25 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 37,462.58 | 40,974.70 | 43,316.11 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.90% | 9.90% | 9.90% |
| Growth Rate | 4.86% | 5.86% | 6.86% |
| Fair Value | $778,297.74 | $1,071,722.37 | $1,518,986.22 |
| Upside / Downside | 72.38% | 137.37% | 236.43% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,990,667.81 | 2,107,258.06 | 2,230,676.81 | 2,361,324.00 | 2,499,622.99 | 2,646,021.93 | 2,725,402.58 |
| Payout Ratio | 40.65% | 50.52% | 60.39% | 70.26% | 80.13% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 809,299.28 | 1,064,665.37 | 1,347,168.13 | 1,659,110.28 | 2,002,971.21 | 2,381,419.73 | 2,520,997.39 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.90% | 9.90% | 9.90% |
| Growth Rate | 4.86% | 5.86% | 6.86% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 959,571.61 | 968,722.87 | 977,874.12 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,094,335.09 | 1,115,307.56 | 1,136,479.09 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,214,697.24 | 1,249,782.75 | 1,285,537.44 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,321,696.57 | 1,372,841.51 | 1,425,456.63 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,416,306.56 | 1,485,142.30 | 1,556,628.85 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 21,716,593.73 | 22,772,069.79 | 23,868,191.49 |
| Equity Value (M) | 27,723,200.81 | 28,963,866.78 | 30,250,167.63 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 42.51 | 42.51 | 42.51 |
| Fair Value | $652,157.16 | $681,342.43 | $711,601.21 |
| Upside / Downside | 44.44% | 50.91% | 57.61% |
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| 300923.SZ | Yeal Electric Co.,Ltd | 1.76% | $0.45 | 71.34% |
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| 603225.SS | Xinfengming Group Co., Ltd. | 1.76% | $0.34 | 48.02% |
| 7269.T | Suzuki Motor Corporation | 1.76% | $41.02 | 19.60% |
| 7556.TWO | Yeedex Electronic Corporation | 1.76% | $2.90 | 43.54% |
| AWRD.ST | Awardit AB (publ) | 1.76% | $2.30 | 82.26% |
| AXS | AXIS Capital Holdings Limited | 1.76% | $1.84 | 14.40% |
| KCR.HE | Konecranes Plc | 1.76% | $1.65 | 33.86% |
| SY1.DE | Symrise AG | 1.76% | $1.20 | 33.09% |
| VINTE.MX | Vinte Viviendas Integrales, S.A.B. de C.V. | 1.76% | $0.57 | 14.97% |
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| 300951.SZ | Shenzhen Bsc Technology Co.,Ltd. | 1.75% | $0.60 | 51.92% |
| 301156.SZ | Shanghai Menon Animal Nutrition Technology Co., Ltd. | 1.75% | $0.31 | 73.33% |
| 3242.T | Urbanet Corporation Co.,Ltd. | 1.75% | $10.02 | 9.72% |
| 603045.SS | Fuda Alloy Materials Co.,Ltd | 1.75% | $0.34 | 78.02% |
| 7512.T | Aeon Hokkaido Corporation | 1.75% | $15.97 | 69.82% |
| ICC.BK | I.C.C. International Public Company Limited | 1.75% | $0.43 | 29.50% |
| IMD.AX | Imdex Limited | 1.75% | $0.06 | 37.34% |
| KRI.AT | Kri-Kri Milk Industry S.A. | 1.75% | $0.35 | 41.81% |
| PEAB-B.ST | Peab AB (publ) | 1.75% | $1.51 | 26.14% |
| SIMP.JK | PT Salim Ivomas Pratama Tbk | 1.75% | $10.00 | 8.73% |
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| 006260.KS | LS Corp. | 1.74% | $3,619.10 | 44.44% |
| 006880.KS | Singsong Holdings Co.,Ltd. | 1.74% | $119.62 | 28.35% |
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| 603885.SS | Juneyao Airlines Co., Ltd | 1.74% | $0.26 | 76.13% |
| 688566.SS | Jiangsu Jibeier Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. | 1.74% | $0.52 | 42.91% |
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| 4689.T | LY Corporation | 1.73% | $7.20 | 24.40% |
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