Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$137.49 - $329.36$203.52
Multi-Stage$119.03 - $129.70$124.27
Blended Fair Value$163.90
Current Price$83.53
Upside96.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.07%8.60%6.346.316.014.043.963.753.543.263.112.97
YoY Growth--0.50%5.04%48.79%1.87%5.64%6.08%8.66%4.84%4.67%6.72%
Dividend Yield--5.77%4.28%3.10%1.88%2.33%4.02%3.09%3.11%2.89%2.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,502.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,395.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)107.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,100.40687.75412.65
Cash Retained (M)107.00107.00107.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,100.40-687.75-412.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-993.40-580.75-305.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)851.00851.00851.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.17-0.68-0.36
LTM Dividend per Share6.346.346.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.17-0.68-0.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.175.665.98
WACC / Discount Rate8.57%8.57%8.57%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Fair Value$137.49$203.52$329.36
Upside / Downside64.60%143.65%294.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,502.005,811.836,139.106,484.806,849.977,235.707,452.78
Payout Ratio98.06%96.44%94.83%93.22%91.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,395.005,605.175,821.906,045.276,275.336,512.136,893.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.57%8.57%8.57%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Year 1 PV (M)5,113.985,162.855,211.73
Year 2 PV (M)4,846.244,939.315,033.28
Year 3 PV (M)4,591.194,724.094,859.53
Year 4 PV (M)4,348.274,516.904,690.39
Year 5 PV (M)4,116.924,317.454,525.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)78,282.1782,095.2286,055.43
Equity Value (M)101,298.76105,755.83110,376.08
Shares Outstanding (M)851.00851.00851.00
Fair Value$119.03$124.27$129.70
Upside / Downside42.51%48.78%55.28%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 76 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
DR.TOMedical Facilities Corporation1.80%$0.287.21%
PINE3.SABanco Pine S.A.1.80%$0.2316.47%
SVED-B.STSvedbergs i Dalstorp AB (publ)1.80%$1.2532.77%
002296.SZHeNan Splendor Science & Technology Co., Ltd.1.79%$0.2025.74%
002349.SZJinghua Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.1.79%$0.1347.07%
002841.SZGuangzhou Shiyuan Electronic Technology Company Limited1.79%$0.7153.65%
007690.KSKukdo Chemical Co., Ltd.1.79%$569.7119.70%
010690.KSHWASHIN CO.,Ltd1.79%$145.8913.31%
049770.KSDongwon F&B Co., Ltd.1.79%$800.0312.97%
1836.HKStella International Holdings Limited1.79%$0.2778.00%
5ML.SIOld Chang Kee Ltd.1.79%$0.0221.40%
603456.SSZhejiang Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd1.79%$0.3239.16%
6245.THIRANO TECSEED Co.,Ltd.1.79%$29.9248.19%
9999.HKNetEase, Inc.1.79%$4.1136.47%
EFK.WAKorporacja Gospodarcza Efekt S.A.1.79%$0.103.27%
IFSH.JKPT Ifishdeco Tbk1.79%$14.6252.99%
WGSH.JKPT Wira Global Solusi Tbk1.79%$5.0059.74%
001060.KSJW Pharmaceutical Corporation1.78%$458.4617.63%
001332.SZWuxi Chemical Equipment Co., Ltd.1.78%$1.0044.53%
002312.SZSichuan Development Lomon Co., Ltd.1.78%$0.1967.49%
002900.KSTYM Corporation1.78%$112.2711.09%
003018.SZJinFu Technology Co., Ltd.1.78%$0.3168.11%
003023.SZChengdu Rainbow Appliance (Group) Shares Co., Ltd.1.78%$0.4051.85%
004490.KSSebang Global Battery Co., Ltd.1.78%$1,112.7311.15%
0KFH.LRevenio Group Oyj1.78%$0.4058.60%
1357.HKMeitu, Inc.1.78%$0.1344.58%
300610.SZYangzhou Chenhua New Material Co., Ltd.1.78%$0.2163.13%
3543.TKOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd.1.78%$54.0341.58%
5450.TWONam Liong Global Corporation1.78%$0.2545.91%
600458.SSZhuzhou Times New Material Technology Co., Ltd.1.78%$0.2437.98%
603037.SSShanghai Carthane Co.,Ltd.1.78%$0.2678.70%
603876.SSJiangsu Dingsheng New Material Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd1.78%$0.2764.69%
603916.SSSobute New Materials Co., Ltd1.78%$0.1762.46%
6167.TFuji Die Co.,Ltd.1.78%$15.9369.67%
6981.TMurata Manufacturing Co., Ltd.1.78%$57.8845.13%
FLEXD.LSFlexdeal Simfe S.A.1.78%$0.0938.33%
MIKA.JKPT Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat Tbk1.78%$43.0046.34%
SARKY.ISSarkuysan Elektrolitik Bakir Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.1.78%$0.3353.78%
002249.SZZhongshan Broad-Ocean Motor Co., Ltd.1.77%$0.1944.29%
012330.KSHyundai Mobis Co.,Ltd1.77%$6,540.9013.98%
111770.KSYoungone Corporation1.77%$1,406.1316.14%
2754.TTokatsu Holdings Co.,Ltd.1.77%$14.3118.28%
600236.SSGuangxi Guiguan Electric PowerCo.,Ltd.1.77%$0.1442.95%
603605.SSProya Cosmetics Co.,Ltd.1.77%$1.2130.20%
603759.SSHaitian Water Group Co.,Ltd1.77%$0.1932.54%
688076.SSSinopep-Allsino Bio Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.1.77%$0.6742.24%
8015.TToyota Tsusho Corporation1.77%$93.3828.94%
9722.TFujita Kanko Inc.1.77%$46.655.91%
9962.TMISUMI Group Inc.1.77%$43.3636.74%
ADORFO.BOAdor Fontech Limited1.77%$2.5238.55%