DDM Analysis: 1099.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$420.78 - $986.39	$924.39
Multi-Stage	$148.10 - $161.96	$154.90
Blended Fair Value	$539.65
Current Price	$16.77
Upside	3,117.92%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.14%	15.06%	0.87	0.82	0.75	0.69	0.60	0.56	0.51	0.44	0.36	0.28
YoY Growth	-	-	6.10%	9.33%	8.70%	15.45%	6.38%	11.18%	13.99%	21.94%	32.26%	28.46%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.36%	4.49%	4.29%	5.00%	3.77%	2.21%	1.75%	1.56%	1.27%	1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	15,456.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9,757.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,699.54

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,091.34	1,932.09	1,159.25
Cash Retained (M)	5,699.54	5,699.54	5,699.54
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,091.34	-1,932.09	-1,159.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,608.20	3,767.45	4,540.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,116.38	3,116.38	3,116.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	1.21	1.46
LTM Dividend per Share	3.13	3.13	3.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	1.21	1.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.97	4.34	4.59
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$420.78	$924.39	$986.39
Upside / Downside	2,409.12%	5,412.16%	5,781.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	15,456.72	16,461.40	17,531.40	18,670.94	19,884.55	21,177.04	21,812.35
Payout Ratio	63.13%	68.50%	73.88%	79.25%	84.63%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9,757.18	11,276.17	12,951.40	14,796.78	16,827.33	19,059.34	20,176.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	10,489.04	10,588.46	10,687.89
Year 2 PV (M)	11,206.38	11,419.83	11,635.29
Year 3 PV (M)	11,909.40	12,251.28	12,599.63
Year 4 PV (M)	12,598.31	13,082.81	13,581.14
Year 5 PV (M)	13,273.31	13,914.41	14,580.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)	402,057.03	421,476.54	441,639.27
Equity Value (M)	461,533.48	482,733.33	504,723.29
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,116.38	3,116.38	3,116.38
Fair Value	$148.10	$154.90	$161.96
Upside / Downside	783.12%	823.69%	865.76%

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002312.SZ	Sichuan Development Lomon Co., Ltd.	1.78%	$0.19	67.49%
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Sinopharm Group Co. Ltd. (1099.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener