Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Damai Sejahtera Abadi Tbk (UFOE.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63.00 - $90.96$76.61
Multi-Stage$101.64 - $111.76$106.60
Blended Fair Value$91.61
Current Price$190.00
Upside-51.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%1.410.000.000.670.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.74%0.00%0.00%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19,918.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,202.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)16,715.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,983.652,489.781,493.87
Cash Retained (M)16,715.7516,715.7516,715.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,983.65-2,489.78-1,493.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)12,732.1014,225.9715,221.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,266.572,266.572,266.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.626.286.72
LTM Dividend per Share1.411.411.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.626.286.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.037.698.13
WACC / Discount Rate8.94%8.94%8.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$63.00$76.61$90.96
Upside / Downside-66.84%-59.68%-52.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19,918.2519,719.0719,521.8819,326.6619,133.4018,942.0619,510.32
Payout Ratio16.08%30.86%45.65%60.43%75.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,202.506,085.818,911.1411,679.3514,391.3117,047.8618,047.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.94%8.94%8.94%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,530.155,586.585,643.01
Year 2 PV (M)7,358.177,509.107,661.56
Year 3 PV (M)8,763.419,034.439,310.97
Year 4 PV (M)9,812.3510,219.0210,638.21
Year 5 PV (M)10,562.3511,112.3611,685.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)188,356.00198,164.14208,376.67
Equity Value (M)230,382.42241,625.62253,315.46
Shares Outstanding (M)2,266.572,266.572,266.57
Fair Value$101.64$106.60$111.76
Upside / Downside-46.50%-43.89%-41.18%

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