Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Tanger Inc. (SKT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - RetailSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.18 - $12.31$10.13
Multi-Stage$12.75 - $13.96$13.35
Blended Fair Value$11.74
Current Price$33.84
Upside-65.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.910.740.640.581.161.151.141.240.92
YoY Growth---100.00%23.22%16.28%8.80%-49.83%1.08%0.83%-7.74%34.53%15.95%
Dividend Yield--0.00%3.10%3.77%3.70%3.86%23.29%5.66%5.19%3.78%2.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)107.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)62.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)45.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.5613.488.09
Cash Retained (M)45.1045.1045.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.56-13.48-8.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.5431.6337.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)113.91113.91113.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.280.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.550.550.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.280.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.760.830.88
WACC / Discount Rate8.81%8.81%8.81%
Growth Rate-0.41%0.59%1.59%
Fair Value$8.18$10.13$12.31
Upside / Downside-75.84%-70.06%-63.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)107.80108.43109.07109.72110.36111.01114.34
Payout Ratio58.16%64.53%70.90%77.27%83.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)62.7069.9777.3384.7792.3099.91105.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.81%8.81%8.81%
Growth Rate-0.41%0.59%1.59%
Year 1 PV (M)63.6764.3164.95
Year 2 PV (M)64.0265.3166.62
Year 3 PV (M)63.8665.8067.78
Year 4 PV (M)63.2665.8468.50
Year 5 PV (M)62.3165.5068.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,135.221,193.371,253.88
Equity Value (M)1,452.341,520.141,590.55
Shares Outstanding (M)113.91113.91113.91
Fair Value$12.75$13.35$13.96
Upside / Downside-62.32%-60.56%-58.74%

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