Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

DoubleLine Opportunistic Credit Fund (DBL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.07 - $51.13$41.45
Multi-Stage$75.47 - $83.06$79.19
Blended Fair Value$60.32
Current Price$15.58
Upside287.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.51%0.00%1.321.211.131.151.351.111.141.561.561.96
YoY Growth--9.08%6.82%-1.45%-15.16%21.99%-3.01%-26.57%-0.15%-20.51%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.46%7.64%7.76%7.94%6.86%5.82%5.52%7.58%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)31.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.238.274.96
Cash Retained (M)31.7231.7231.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.23-8.27-4.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.4923.4526.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.5718.5718.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.001.261.44
LTM Dividend per Share1.851.851.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.001.261.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.853.123.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$33.07$41.45$51.13
Upside / Downside112.26%166.03%228.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.1365.4764.8264.1763.5362.8964.78
Payout Ratio52.03%59.63%67.22%74.81%82.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.4139.0443.5748.0152.3556.6059.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)36.3136.6837.05
Year 2 PV (M)37.6838.4639.24
Year 3 PV (M)38.6139.8141.02
Year 4 PV (M)39.1640.7842.45
Year 5 PV (M)39.3741.4243.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,210.191,273.211,338.83
Equity Value (M)1,401.331,470.351,542.15
Shares Outstanding (M)18.5718.5718.57
Fair Value$75.47$79.19$83.06
Upside / Downside384.41%408.27%433.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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