Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pulike Biological Engineering, Inc. (603566.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.24 - $22.36$13.72
Multi-Stage$7.07 - $7.69$7.37
Blended Fair Value$10.55
Current Price$13.74
Upside-23.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.18%8.67%0.410.670.190.470.190.290.190.190.140.14
YoY Growth---38.74%253.50%-59.54%148.99%-35.16%50.68%0.63%33.89%0.00%-20.00%
Dividend Yield--3.42%3.67%0.67%1.69%0.92%1.59%1.30%0.95%0.54%0.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)143.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)136.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.7317.9610.78
Cash Retained (M)6.906.906.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.73-17.96-10.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)-21.83-11.06-3.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)336.73336.73336.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.03-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.03-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9.24$13.72$22.36
Upside / Downside-32.76%-0.13%62.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)143.67153.01162.95173.55184.83196.84202.74
Payout Ratio95.20%94.16%93.12%92.08%91.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)136.77144.07151.74159.80168.26177.16187.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)130.46131.69132.93
Year 2 PV (M)124.42126.79129.18
Year 3 PV (M)118.65122.05125.52
Year 4 PV (M)113.13117.48121.95
Year 5 PV (M)107.85113.06118.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,784.631,870.831,960.33
Equity Value (M)2,379.132,481.902,588.38
Shares Outstanding (M)336.73336.73336.73
Fair Value$7.07$7.37$7.69
Upside / Downside-48.58%-46.36%-44.05%

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