Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Green Cross Holdings Corporation (005257.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$81,710.81 - $160,376.17$112,758.81
Multi-Stage$80,635.98 - $88,215.40$84,355.75
Blended Fair Value$98,557.28
Current Price$129,200.00
Upside-23.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.55%2.86%1,711.372,175.082,101.511,621.891,114.401,084.571,249.991,343.211,796.151,316.75
YoY Growth---21.32%3.50%29.57%45.54%2.75%-13.23%-6.94%-25.22%36.41%1.97%
Dividend Yield--1.40%1.76%1.72%0.80%0.31%0.79%0.87%0.65%1.13%0.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56,335.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,831.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)37,503.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,267.037,041.894,225.14
Cash Retained (M)37,503.7937,503.7937,503.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,267.03-7,041.89-4,225.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,236.7630,461.8933,278.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.4111.4111.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,298.802,668.992,915.79
LTM Dividend per Share1,649.961,649.961,649.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,298.802,668.992,915.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,948.754,318.954,565.75
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate3.59%4.59%5.59%
Fair Value$81,710.81$112,758.81$160,376.17
Upside / Downside-36.76%-12.73%24.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56,335.1458,919.6061,622.6264,449.6567,406.3770,498.7372,613.70
Payout Ratio33.43%44.74%56.06%67.37%78.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,831.3626,361.7534,543.4443,420.3453,039.0263,448.8667,167.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate3.59%4.59%5.59%
Year 1 PV (M)24,043.4924,275.5924,507.70
Year 2 PV (M)28,735.0629,292.5329,855.36
Year 3 PV (M)32,942.9933,906.2934,888.19
Year 4 PV (M)36,701.9038,139.7939,619.52
Year 5 PV (M)40,044.2542,014.8044,062.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)757,850.96795,144.26833,891.45
Equity Value (M)920,318.65962,773.271,006,824.40
Shares Outstanding (M)11.4111.4111.41
Fair Value$80,635.98$84,355.75$88,215.40
Upside / Downside-37.59%-34.71%-31.72%

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