Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wienerberger AG (WIE.VI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.66 - $68.06$45.16
Multi-Stage$32.51 - $35.56$34.01
Blended Fair Value$39.58
Current Price$31.62
Upside25.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.85%21.93%0.910.860.760.610.610.520.310.290.210.16
YoY Growth--5.73%13.09%24.51%0.00%17.57%64.57%10.24%35.00%33.34%27.05%
Dividend Yield--2.95%2.60%2.84%2.22%1.95%3.60%1.66%1.40%1.06%0.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)187.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)83.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.4823.4214.05
Cash Retained (M)83.6583.6583.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.48-23.42-14.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)46.1760.2269.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)110.66110.66110.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.540.63
LTM Dividend per Share0.940.940.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.540.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.481.57
WACC / Discount Rate7.87%7.87%7.87%
Growth Rate3.44%4.44%5.44%
Fair Value$31.66$45.16$68.06
Upside / Downside0.12%42.83%115.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)187.39195.72204.42213.50222.99232.90239.89
Payout Ratio55.36%62.29%69.22%76.14%83.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103.74121.91141.49162.57185.25209.61221.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.87%7.87%7.87%
Growth Rate3.44%4.44%5.44%
Year 1 PV (M)111.93113.02114.10
Year 2 PV (M)119.28121.60123.94
Year 3 PV (M)125.83129.52133.27
Year 4 PV (M)131.65136.81142.13
Year 5 PV (M)136.77143.51150.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,972.253,118.723,270.90
Equity Value (M)3,597.713,763.173,934.85
Shares Outstanding (M)110.66110.66110.66
Fair Value$32.51$34.01$35.56
Upside / Downside2.82%7.54%12.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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