Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$65.51 - $346.91$118.34
Multi-Stage$39.09 - $42.74$40.88
Blended Fair Value$79.61
Current Price$40.00
Upside99.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.81%0.00%0.470.390.390.392.210.270.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--20.11%0.85%0.24%-82.38%716.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.18%0.99%2.44%4.26%15.52%1.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.295.813.48
Cash Retained (M)35.4435.4435.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.29-5.81-3.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.1529.6331.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.2623.2623.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.121.271.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.121.271.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.601.751.85
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$65.51$118.34$346.91
Upside / Downside63.78%195.84%767.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46.4449.4652.6856.1059.7563.6365.54
Payout Ratio23.70%36.96%50.22%63.48%76.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.0118.2826.4635.6145.8557.2760.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16.7616.9217.08
Year 2 PV (M)22.2322.6523.08
Year 3 PV (M)27.4328.2229.02
Year 4 PV (M)32.3733.6134.89
Year 5 PV (M)37.0638.8540.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)773.38810.74849.52
Equity Value (M)909.22950.98994.29
Shares Outstanding (M)23.2623.2623.26
Fair Value$39.09$40.88$42.74
Upside / Downside-2.28%2.21%6.86%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 74 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
PHN.MIPharmanutra S.p.A.1.89%$1.0254.97%
002117.SZTungkong Inc.1.88%$0.2667.89%
031440.KSSHINSEGAE FOOD Inc.1.88%$899.9814.67%
1590.TWAirTAC International Group1.88%$17.9845.66%
2678.HKTexhong Textile Group Limited1.88%$0.096.21%
4112.THodogaya Chemical Co., Ltd.1.88%$42.1632.13%
4739.TITOCHU Techno-Solutions Corporation1.88%$81.1350.53%
600499.SSKeda Industrial Group Co., Ltd.1.88%$0.2634.23%
6594.TNidec Corporation1.88%$40.0525.72%
GFPT-R.BKGFPT Public Company Limited1.88%$0.2010.54%
NGI.AXNavigator Global Investments Limited1.88%$0.0619.77%
SVW.AXSeven Group Holdings Limited1.88%$0.8731.55%
002461.SZGuangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Co., Ltd1.87%$0.1740.51%
002788.SZLuyan Pharma Co.,Ltd.1.87%$0.4049.91%
600600.SSTsingtao Brewery Company Limited1.87%$1.1433.65%
600900.SSChina Yangtze Power Co., Ltd.1.87%$0.5137.99%
603238.SSHangZhou Nbond Nonwovens Co., Ltd.1.87%$0.3348.05%
6875.TMegaChips Corporation1.87%$148.1788.24%
7095.KLP.I.E. Industrial Berhad1.87%$0.0544.49%
8334.TThe Gunma Bank, Ltd.1.87%$32.3726.45%
BVB.DEBorussia Dortmund GmbH & Co. Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien1.87%$0.0623.76%
DNG.TODynacor Group Inc.1.87%$0.1028.25%
ICNC-UNIconic Sports Acquisition Corp.1.87%$0.2030.34%
PAZ.SNPaz Corp S.A.1.87%$14.9926.20%
002756.SZYongxing Special Materials Technology Co.,Ltd1.86%$1.0188.45%
006980.KSWoosung Co., Ltd.1.86%$299.972.95%
084110.KQHuons Global Co., Ltd.1.86%$939.2047.07%
4100.SRMakkah Construction & Development Company1.86%$1.4866.05%
603867.SSZhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co.,Ltd1.86%$0.4738.85%
6849.TNihon Kohden Corporation1.86%$31.3228.12%
9515.SRFesh Fash Snack Food Production Company1.86%$0.1824.81%
CIMSA.ISÇimsa Çimento Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S.1.86%$0.8543.17%
EGATIF.BKElectricity Generating Authority Of Thailand- North Bangkok Power Plant Block 1 Infrastructure Fund1.86%$0.1122.36%
ESNTEssent Group Ltd.1.86%$1.2117.35%
RVRC.STRVRC Holding AB (publ)1.86%$1.2044.59%
002803.SZXiamen Jihong Technology Co., Ltd.1.85%$0.3049.75%
2467.TWC Sun Mfg Ltd.1.85%$4.9998.76%
300160.SZJiangsu Xiuqiang Glasswork Co., Ltd.1.85%$0.1037.25%
600609.SSShenyang Jinbei Automotive Company Limited1.85%$0.0941.26%
601882.SSNingbo Haitian Precision Machinery Co.,Ltd.1.85%$0.3641.14%
603199.SSAnhui Jiuhuashan Tourism Development Co., Ltd.1.85%$0.6835.31%
7245.TDaido Metal Co., Ltd.1.85%$18.1630.01%
BTGB2Gold Corp.1.85%$0.0856.43%
COIC.STConcentric AB (publ)1.85%$4.2555.44%
MPCC.OLMPC Container Ships ASA1.85%$0.3256.17%
000823.SZGuangdong Goworld Co., Ltd.1.84%$0.2554.48%
0529.HKSiS International Holdings Limited1.84%$0.043.76%
0KBI.LKnorr-Bremse AG1.84%$1.7566.92%
300866.SZAnker Innovations Limited1.84%$2.1043.92%
4013.SRDr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group Company1.84%$4.7270.08%