Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Muramoto Electron (Thailand) Public Company Limited (METCO.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$463.29 - $703.33$576.07
Multi-Stage$810.73 - $892.06$850.61
Blended Fair Value$713.34
Current Price$221.00
Upside222.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-4.36%-1.17%8.0010.0018.0014.0010.0010.0013.008.0014.0018.00
YoY Growth---20.00%-44.44%28.57%40.00%0.00%-23.08%62.50%-42.86%-22.22%100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.62%5.76%7.44%4.95%3.76%5.00%7.47%3.96%6.03%7.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,099.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)167.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)932.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)219.99137.4982.50
Cash Retained (M)932.75932.75932.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-219.99-137.49-82.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)712.76795.26850.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.9020.9020.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share34.1138.0540.68
LTM Dividend per Share8.008.008.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share34.1138.0540.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend42.1146.0548.68
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate-1.29%-0.29%0.71%
Fair Value$463.29$576.07$703.33
Upside / Downside109.63%160.67%218.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,099.941,096.751,093.581,090.411,087.261,084.111,116.63
Payout Ratio15.20%30.16%45.12%60.08%75.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)167.19330.78493.42655.12815.88975.701,032.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate-1.29%-0.29%0.71%
Year 1 PV (M)304.10307.18310.26
Year 2 PV (M)417.04425.53434.11
Year 3 PV (M)509.05524.68540.62
Year 4 PV (M)582.84606.82631.53
Year 5 PV (M)640.80673.92708.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,489.5915,238.5516,018.17
Equity Value (M)16,943.4117,776.6818,643.10
Shares Outstanding (M)20.9020.9020.90
Fair Value$810.73$850.61$892.06
Upside / Downside266.85%284.89%303.65%

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