Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Atria Oyj (ATRAV.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.54 - $60.95$40.63
Multi-Stage$40.87 - $44.85$42.82
Blended Fair Value$41.72
Current Price$13.00
Upside220.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.02%11.86%0.670.700.630.500.420.400.520.470.400.40
YoY Growth---3.84%11.21%26.11%19.11%5.02%-23.68%12.50%16.46%0.00%81.84%
Dividend Yield--5.52%6.94%5.51%4.79%3.55%4.84%6.29%3.78%3.84%4.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.825.513.31
Cash Retained (M)24.2024.2024.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.82-5.51-3.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.3818.6920.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.2028.2028.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.550.660.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.710.710.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.550.660.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.251.371.45
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate1.88%2.88%3.88%
Fair Value$28.54$40.63$60.95
Upside / Downside119.57%212.50%368.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44.1045.3746.6848.0249.4050.8252.35
Payout Ratio45.12%54.10%63.07%72.05%81.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.9024.5429.4434.6040.0345.7448.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate1.88%2.88%3.88%
Year 1 PV (M)22.8623.0823.30
Year 2 PV (M)25.5326.0326.54
Year 3 PV (M)27.9428.7729.62
Year 4 PV (M)30.1031.3032.53
Year 5 PV (M)32.0333.6335.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,014.001,064.751,117.51
Equity Value (M)1,152.441,207.561,264.80
Shares Outstanding (M)28.2028.2028.20
Fair Value$40.87$42.82$44.85
Upside / Downside214.37%229.40%245.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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