Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

SDIC Power Holdings Co., Ltd. (600886.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48.85 - $166.19$155.72
Multi-Stage$37.66 - $41.32$39.46
Blended Fair Value$97.59
Current Price$13.06
Upside647.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-13.84%-7.46%0.480.900.850.990.971.000.940.941.001.14
YoY Growth---47.40%6.33%-13.62%1.74%-3.41%6.25%0.29%-5.65%-12.80%10.71%
Dividend Yield--3.30%6.11%7.87%10.55%9.75%12.63%11.23%13.24%13.25%16.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,582.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,379.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,202.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,316.45822.78493.67
Cash Retained (M)3,202.793,202.793,202.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,316.45-822.78-493.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,886.332,380.002,709.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,747.657,747.657,747.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.310.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.310.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.740.79
WACC / Discount Rate5.18%5.18%5.18%
Growth Rate3.74%4.74%5.74%
Fair Value$48.85$155.72$166.19
Upside / Downside274.01%1,092.35%1,172.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,582.276,894.117,220.727,562.817,921.108,296.378,545.26
Payout Ratio51.34%59.07%66.81%74.54%82.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,379.484,072.614,823.835,637.086,516.577,466.747,904.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.18%5.18%5.18%
Growth Rate3.74%4.74%5.74%
Year 1 PV (M)3,835.033,872.003,908.97
Year 2 PV (M)4,277.444,360.304,443.96
Year 3 PV (M)4,706.984,844.424,984.51
Year 4 PV (M)5,123.935,324.385,530.65
Year 5 PV (M)5,528.555,800.206,082.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)268,337.02281,522.23295,220.73
Equity Value (M)291,808.95305,723.54320,171.26
Shares Outstanding (M)7,747.657,747.657,747.65
Fair Value$37.66$39.46$41.32
Upside / Downside188.39%202.15%216.42%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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