Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sumitomo Riko Company Limited (5191.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,593.11 - $24,968.00$12,344.40
Multi-Stage$4,917.43 - $5,375.09$5,142.10
Blended Fair Value$8,743.25
Current Price$2,206.00
Upside296.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS36.44%11.19%52.0016.0014.0014.007.0011.0020.0020.0018.0018.00
YoY Growth--225.05%14.24%0.00%100.00%-36.34%-45.02%0.00%11.13%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.12%1.09%1.64%2.38%0.97%1.76%2.35%1.76%1.56%2.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29,112.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,853.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)22,259.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,822.403,639.002,183.40
Cash Retained (M)22,259.0022,259.0022,259.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,822.40-3,639.00-2,183.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)16,436.6018,620.0020,075.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)103.82103.82103.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share158.31179.34193.36
LTM Dividend per Share66.0166.0166.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share158.31179.34193.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend224.32245.35259.37
WACC / Discount Rate8.62%8.62%8.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,593.11$12,344.40$24,968.00
Upside / Downside244.20%459.58%1,031.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29,112.0031,004.2833,019.5635,165.8337,451.6139,885.9641,082.54
Payout Ratio23.54%36.83%50.12%63.42%76.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,853.0011,419.5316,550.7522,300.7828,728.3935,897.3738,001.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.62%8.62%8.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10,414.8810,513.6010,612.32
Year 2 PV (M)13,766.7114,028.9214,293.61
Year 3 PV (M)16,917.6017,403.2417,898.09
Year 4 PV (M)19,876.3320,640.7121,426.94
Year 5 PV (M)22,651.3323,745.3924,881.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)426,921.60447,542.07468,951.74
Equity Value (M)510,548.43533,873.94558,064.03
Shares Outstanding (M)103.82103.82103.82
Fair Value$4,917.43$5,142.10$5,375.09
Upside / Downside122.91%133.10%143.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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