Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

The Timken Company (TKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.27 - $70.27$56.11
Multi-Stage$53.51 - $58.56$55.99
Blended Fair Value$56.05
Current Price$75.18
Upside-25.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.51%0.62%1.371.341.301.311.241.211.221.181.161.24
YoY Growth--2.23%2.51%-0.54%5.98%2.47%-0.93%2.88%2.08%-6.21%-3.65%
Dividend Yield--1.90%1.52%1.59%2.16%1.52%3.73%2.68%2.70%2.57%3.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)297.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)199.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.4637.1622.30
Cash Retained (M)199.50199.50199.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.46-37.16-22.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)140.04162.34177.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.391.391.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.383.703.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Fair Value$44.27$56.11$70.27
Upside / Downside-41.12%-25.36%-6.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)297.30305.64314.21323.03332.09341.40351.64
Payout Ratio32.90%44.32%55.74%67.16%78.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.80135.45175.13216.94260.95307.26325.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Year 1 PV (M)122.41123.61124.81
Year 2 PV (M)143.03145.85148.70
Year 3 PV (M)160.11164.88169.73
Year 4 PV (M)174.05180.99188.13
Year 5 PV (M)185.20194.48204.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,980.043,129.303,284.49
Equity Value (M)3,764.833,939.114,119.99
Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
Fair Value$53.51$55.99$58.56
Upside / Downside-28.82%-25.53%-22.11%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 73 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
0FNZ.LPonsse Oyj1.93%$0.5025.56%
5278.TWOSunfun Info Co., Ltd.1.93%$0.6163.56%
7080.TSportsfield Co., Ltd.1.93%$15.8818.18%
CROS.PACrosswood S.A.1.93%$0.2160.81%
SALFACORP.SNSalfaCorp S.A.1.93%$23.4829.64%
004770.KSSunny Electronics Corp.1.92%$30.3025.98%
0083.HKSino Land Company Limited1.92%$0.2021.48%
114090.KSGrand Korea Leisure Co., Ltd.1.92%$281.6139.11%
200880.KSSeoyon E-Hwa Co., Ltd.1.92%$250.046.17%
2874.TYokorei Co.,Ltd.1.92%$24.2572.26%
600642.SSShenergy Company Limited1.92%$0.1518.42%
600995.SSChina Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co., Ltd.1.92%$0.2450.98%
603158.SSChangzhou Tenglong AutoPartsCo.,Ltd.1.92%$0.2063.30%
603214.SSShanghai Aiyingshi Co.,Ltd1.92%$0.3341.13%
603298.SSHangcha Group Co., Ltd1.92%$0.5130.38%
603725.SSGuangdong Tianan New Material Co., Ltd.1.92%$0.1845.17%
605162.SSZhejiang Xinzhonggang Thermal Power Co., Ltd.1.92%$0.1650.25%
AAK.STAAK AB (publ.)1.92%$4.9838.08%
NYF.STNyfosa AB (publ)1.92%$1.4048.74%
PAS.WAPassus S.A.1.92%$2.2617.62%
300303.SZShenzhen Jufei Optoelectronics Co., Ltd.1.91%$0.1357.25%
301552.SZHebei Keli Automobile Equipment Co., Ltd.1.91%$0.7143.10%
4303.TWOHsinLi Chemical Industrial Corp.1.91%$1.167.73%
600717.SSTianjin Port Co., Ltd.1.91%$0.0928.13%
603269.SSJiangsu Seagull Cooling Tower Co.,Ltd.1.91%$0.2570.74%
603733.SSXianhe Co.,Ltd.1.91%$0.4636.40%
KRN.DEKrones AG1.91%$2.6028.35%
NKNC.MEPJSC Nizhnekamskneftekhim1.91%$1.496.74%
TFFIF.BKThailand Future Fund1.91%$0.125.95%
002970.SZStreamax Technology Co., Ltd.1.90%$0.9247.47%
088350.KSHanwha Life Insurance Co., Ltd.1.90%$61.916.15%
2547.TWRadium Life Tech. Co., Ltd.1.90%$0.208.24%
300760.SZShenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co., Ltd.1.90%$3.6251.04%
600323.SSGrandblue Environment Co., Ltd.1.90%$0.5423.47%
603806.SSHangzhou First Applied Material Co., Ltd.1.90%$0.2793.87%
ANE.MCCorporación Acciona Energías Renovables, S.A.1.90%$0.4419.14%
ARML3.SAArmac Locação, Logística e Serviços S.A.1.90%$0.0955.38%
CRSN.JKPT Carsurin Tbk1.90%$2.3524.82%
CSAB3.SACompanhia de Seguros Alianca da Bahia1.90%$0.5829.45%
GFNORTEO.MXGrupo Financiero Banorte, S.A.B. de C.V.1.90%$3.2617.54%
GULF-R.BKGulf Energy Development Public Company Limited1.90%$0.7914.96%
RDOR3.SARede D'Or São Luiz S.A.1.90%$0.7738.15%
300119.SZTianjin Ringpu Bio-Technology Co.,Ltd.1.89%$0.3538.42%
3305.TWShenmao Technology Inc1.89%$2.0572.44%
4150.SRArriyadh Development Co.1.89%$0.4342.09%
4203.TSumitomo Bakelite Company Limited1.89%$97.8443.46%
5053.KLOSK Holdings Berhad1.89%$0.0311.22%
6376.TNikkiso Co., Ltd.1.89%$29.9428.66%
ADMCM.HEAdmicom Oyj1.89%$0.8141.55%
MMK.VIMayr-Melnhof Karton AG1.89%$1.8015.04%