Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ralliant Corp. (RAL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.85 - $16.80$14.29
Multi-Stage$17.30 - $19.03$18.15
Blended Fair Value$16.22
Current Price$43.15
Upside-62.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)203.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)197.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.6625.4115.25
Cash Retained (M)197.70197.70197.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.66-25.41-15.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)157.04172.29182.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)113.02113.02113.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.391.521.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.391.521.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.441.571.66
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.85$14.29$16.80
Upside / Downside-72.54%-66.88%-61.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)203.30201.27199.25197.26195.29193.34199.14
Payout Ratio2.75%20.20%37.65%55.10%72.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.6040.6675.02108.69141.68174.00184.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)36.6337.0037.37
Year 2 PV (M)60.8762.1163.38
Year 3 PV (M)79.4381.8884.39
Year 4 PV (M)93.2597.12101.10
Year 5 PV (M)103.15108.52114.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,582.151,664.531,750.31
Equity Value (M)1,955.472,051.172,150.67
Shares Outstanding (M)113.02113.02113.02
Fair Value$17.30$18.15$19.03
Upside / Downside-59.90%-57.94%-55.90%

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