Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hibbett, Inc. (HIBB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.86 - $71.66$61.17
Multi-Stage$72.92 - $80.13$76.46
Blended Fair Value$68.81
Current Price$86.59
Upside-20.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)99.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)90.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.9612.477.48
Cash Retained (M)90.8090.8090.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.96-12.47-7.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)70.8578.3383.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.5012.5012.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.676.266.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.720.720.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.676.266.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.386.987.38
WACC / Discount Rate10.30%10.30%10.30%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$50.86$61.17$71.66
Upside / Downside-41.26%-29.35%-17.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)99.7898.7997.8096.8295.8594.8997.74
Payout Ratio9.00%25.20%41.40%57.60%73.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.9824.8940.4955.7770.7485.4090.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.30%10.30%10.30%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)22.3422.5722.80
Year 2 PV (M)32.6133.2833.95
Year 3 PV (M)40.3141.5642.83
Year 4 PV (M)45.8947.7949.75
Year 5 PV (M)49.7252.3155.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)720.96758.50797.59
Equity Value (M)911.83956.001,001.93
Shares Outstanding (M)12.5012.5012.50
Fair Value$72.92$76.46$80.13
Upside / Downside-15.78%-11.70%-7.46%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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