Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dynagas LNG Partners LP (DLNG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas MidstreamSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.67 - $35.34$27.02
Multi-Stage$27.09 - $29.70$28.37
Blended Fair Value$27.70
Current Price$3.51
Upside689.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.05%-10.13%0.400.320.320.320.000.451.321.821.821.70
YoY Growth--27.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-66.15%-27.57%0.00%7.47%44.63%
Dividend Yield--10.70%10.95%11.15%7.87%0.00%41.79%58.97%17.64%10.35%14.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.007.504.50
Cash Retained (M)41.3641.3641.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.00-7.50-4.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.3633.8636.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.6536.6536.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.800.921.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.800.921.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.311.431.51
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate1.62%2.62%3.62%
Fair Value$20.67$27.02$35.34
Upside / Downside488.76%669.81%906.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60.0161.5963.2064.8666.5668.3170.36
Payout Ratio31.08%42.86%54.65%66.43%78.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.6526.4034.5443.0952.0661.4865.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate1.62%2.62%3.62%
Year 1 PV (M)24.1924.4324.67
Year 2 PV (M)29.0029.5830.16
Year 3 PV (M)33.1634.1435.15
Year 4 PV (M)36.7138.1839.69
Year 5 PV (M)39.7241.7243.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)830.21871.87915.19
Equity Value (M)993.001,039.911,088.64
Shares Outstanding (M)36.6536.6536.65
Fair Value$27.09$28.37$29.70
Upside / Downside671.81%708.28%746.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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