Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Creepy Jar S.A. (CRJ.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$157.38 - $222.88$189.72
Multi-Stage$245.17 - $268.61$256.66
Blended Fair Value$223.19
Current Price$440.00
Upside-49.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%12.8539.2120.480.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---67.23%91.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.64%7.00%2.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.432.141.29
Cash Retained (M)9.219.219.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.43-2.14-1.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.787.067.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.710.710.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.109.9011.10
LTM Dividend per Share11.1511.1511.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.109.9011.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.2421.0522.25
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$157.38$189.72$222.88
Upside / Downside-64.23%-56.88%-49.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17.1616.9916.8216.6516.4816.3216.81
Payout Ratio46.34%55.07%63.80%72.54%81.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.959.3610.7312.0813.4014.6915.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8.428.518.59
Year 2 PV (M)8.698.879.05
Year 3 PV (M)8.819.089.36
Year 4 PV (M)8.799.169.53
Year 5 PV (M)8.679.139.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)131.52138.37145.50
Equity Value (M)174.90183.10191.62
Shares Outstanding (M)0.710.710.71
Fair Value$245.17$256.66$268.61
Upside / Downside-44.28%-41.67%-38.95%

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