Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Blackrock Municipal 2030 Target Term Trust (BTT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.25 - $11.35$9.82
Multi-Stage$20.07 - $22.09$21.06
Blended Fair Value$15.44
Current Price$22.16
Upside-30.33%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-5.79%-5.32%0.600.560.830.820.820.820.820.941.041.05
YoY Growth--7.62%-32.29%1.84%0.00%0.00%0.00%-13.13%-10.21%-0.15%0.15%
Dividend Yield--2.73%2.66%3.95%3.45%3.10%3.29%3.47%4.38%4.51%4.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)101.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)75.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.2212.647.58
Cash Retained (M)25.5225.5225.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.22-12.64-7.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.3012.8817.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)64.7764.7764.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.200.28
LTM Dividend per Share1.171.171.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.200.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.251.371.44
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-6.48%-5.48%-4.48%
Fair Value$8.25$9.82$11.35
Upside / Downside-62.76%-55.70%-48.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)101.1095.5690.3385.3880.7076.2878.57
Payout Ratio74.76%77.81%80.86%83.90%86.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)75.5974.3673.0471.6470.1768.6572.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-6.48%-5.48%-4.48%
Year 1 PV (M)68.3369.0669.79
Year 2 PV (M)61.6763.0064.34
Year 3 PV (M)55.5957.3959.23
Year 4 PV (M)50.0452.2154.46
Year 5 PV (M)44.9847.4450.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,019.431,075.111,133.20
Equity Value (M)1,300.041,364.211,431.02
Shares Outstanding (M)64.7764.7764.77
Fair Value$20.07$21.06$22.09
Upside / Downside-9.43%-4.96%-0.30%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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