Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Potens (7712.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.95 - $51.68$43.63
Multi-Stage$57.88 - $63.57$60.67
Blended Fair Value$52.15
Current Price$120.50
Upside-56.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%1.410.000.920.610.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.03%0.00%0.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)159.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)115.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.9819.9911.99
Cash Retained (M)115.75115.75115.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.98-19.99-11.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)83.7895.77103.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.2731.2731.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.683.063.32
LTM Dividend per Share1.411.411.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.683.063.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.094.474.73
WACC / Discount Rate9.15%9.15%9.15%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$35.95$43.63$51.68
Upside / Downside-70.17%-63.79%-57.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)159.89158.29156.71155.14153.59152.05156.61
Payout Ratio27.60%40.08%52.56%65.04%77.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.1463.4582.37100.91119.06136.85144.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.15%9.15%9.15%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)57.5458.1358.72
Year 2 PV (M)67.7569.1470.54
Year 3 PV (M)75.2777.5979.97
Year 4 PV (M)80.5483.8887.32
Year 5 PV (M)83.9588.3292.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,444.681,519.911,598.24
Equity Value (M)1,809.731,896.971,987.66
Shares Outstanding (M)31.2731.2731.27
Fair Value$57.88$60.67$63.57
Upside / Downside-51.97%-49.65%-47.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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