Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

CRE Logistics REIT, Inc. (3487.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$307,694.57 - $1,176,346.37$519,398.14
Multi-Stage$202,656.48 - $221,036.39$211,681.02
Blended Fair Value$365,539.58
Current Price$151,000.00
Upside142.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS26.37%0.00%7,496.979,296.996,406.855,009.512,960.262,326.531,236.95538.840.000.00
YoY Growth---19.36%45.11%27.89%69.23%27.24%88.09%129.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.45%5.99%3.49%2.21%1.88%1.74%1.24%0.49%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,595.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,673.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,921.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,319.03824.39494.64
Cash Retained (M)1,921.321,921.321,921.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,319.03-824.39-494.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)602.291,096.921,426.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.630.630.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share962.471,752.912,279.88
LTM Dividend per Share7,468.917,468.917,468.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share962.471,752.912,279.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,431.389,221.839,748.79
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$307,694.57$519,398.14$1,176,346.37
Upside / Downside103.77%243.97%679.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,595.147,023.837,480.377,966.608,484.439,035.929,306.99
Payout Ratio70.87%74.69%78.52%82.35%86.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,673.835,246.395,873.646,560.267,311.338,132.328,608.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,794.804,840.254,885.70
Year 2 PV (M)4,906.004,999.445,093.77
Year 3 PV (M)5,007.855,151.615,298.09
Year 4 PV (M)5,100.785,296.945,498.71
Year 5 PV (M)5,185.195,435.645,695.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)101,821.87106,739.90111,846.16
Equity Value (M)126,816.50132,463.79138,318.11
Shares Outstanding (M)0.630.630.63
Fair Value$202,656.48$211,681.02$221,036.39
Upside / Downside34.21%40.19%46.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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