Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

TCL Electronics Holdings Limited (1070.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.53 - $13.28$10.72
Multi-Stage$11.00 - $12.06$11.52
Blended Fair Value$11.12
Current Price$9.54
Upside16.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.01%0.00%0.210.130.170.110.190.180.220.020.000.03
YoY Growth--65.87%-23.58%50.32%-41.58%4.19%-18.85%991.07%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.24%3.54%4.99%3.28%3.13%5.56%4.99%0.56%0.00%0.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,199.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)403.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,796.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)439.97274.98164.99
Cash Retained (M)1,796.521,796.521,796.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-439.97-274.98-164.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,356.541,521.531,631.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,521.562,521.562,521.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.700.760.81
WACC / Discount Rate9.27%9.27%9.27%
Growth Rate1.01%2.01%3.01%
Fair Value$8.53$10.72$13.28
Upside / Downside-10.55%12.42%39.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,199.872,244.022,289.052,334.992,381.862,429.662,502.55
Payout Ratio18.34%32.67%47.00%61.33%75.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)403.35733.081,075.881,432.151,802.282,186.692,314.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.27%9.27%9.27%
Growth Rate1.01%2.01%3.01%
Year 1 PV (M)664.32670.90677.48
Year 2 PV (M)883.53901.12918.87
Year 3 PV (M)1,065.801,097.771,130.38
Year 4 PV (M)1,215.461,264.321,314.63
Year 5 PV (M)1,336.401,403.881,474.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,571.9123,711.6024,896.87
Equity Value (M)27,737.4429,049.5830,412.27
Shares Outstanding (M)2,521.562,521.562,521.56
Fair Value$11.00$11.52$12.06
Upside / Downside15.31%20.76%26.42%

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