Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Ekadharma International Tbk (EKAD.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$85.56 - $133.14$107.53
Multi-Stage$204.75 - $224.91$214.63
Blended Fair Value$161.08
Current Price$185.00
Upside-12.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.81%17.87%8.978.929.918.836.765.883.653.201.931.73
YoY Growth--0.53%-10.01%12.29%30.57%14.97%61.12%14.05%66.20%11.18%-0.01%
Dividend Yield--4.67%3.66%3.62%3.04%2.77%3.50%2.19%2.34%1.32%2.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31,513.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31,002.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)511.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,302.763,939.232,363.54
Cash Retained (M)511.72511.72511.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,302.76-3,939.23-2,363.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)-5,791.05-3,427.51-1,851.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,493.883,493.883,493.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.66-0.98-0.53
LTM Dividend per Share8.878.878.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.66-0.98-0.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.227.898.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-1.93%-0.93%0.07%
Fair Value$85.56$107.53$133.14
Upside / Downside-53.75%-41.87%-28.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31,513.8131,221.6930,932.2730,645.5330,361.4630,080.0230,982.42
Payout Ratio98.38%96.70%95.03%93.35%91.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31,002.1030,191.6829,393.6128,607.7627,833.9427,072.0128,658.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-1.93%-0.93%0.07%
Year 1 PV (M)28,103.9428,390.5128,677.07
Year 2 PV (M)25,469.0725,991.1126,518.44
Year 3 PV (M)23,074.0623,787.1024,514.69
Year 4 PV (M)20,897.5321,762.9822,655.04
Year 5 PV (M)18,919.9919,904.4520,929.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)598,902.49630,065.04662,511.47
Equity Value (M)715,367.08749,901.18785,806.17
Shares Outstanding (M)3,493.883,493.883,493.88
Fair Value$204.75$214.63$224.91
Upside / Downside10.68%16.02%21.57%

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