Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Thai Stanley Electric Public Company Limited (STANLY.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$304.13 - $537.92$403.13
Multi-Stage$528.44 - $580.25$553.85
Blended Fair Value$478.49
Current Price$182.00
Upside162.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS19.40%12.81%19.9919.998.505.508.258.247.005.005.004.80
YoY Growth--0.00%135.29%54.55%-33.33%0.08%17.76%40.00%0.07%4.10%-19.88%
Dividend Yield--10.05%9.09%3.93%3.06%4.43%4.86%3.00%1.99%2.22%2.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,739.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)919.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)819.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)347.83217.40130.44
Cash Retained (M)819.67819.67819.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-347.83-217.40-130.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)471.83602.27689.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76.6476.6476.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.167.868.99
LTM Dividend per Share12.0012.0012.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.167.868.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.1519.8520.99
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate0.54%1.54%2.54%
Fair Value$304.13$403.13$537.92
Upside / Downside67.10%121.50%195.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,739.171,765.891,793.021,820.571,848.541,876.941,933.25
Payout Ratio52.87%60.30%67.72%75.15%82.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)919.501,064.761,214.271,368.121,526.411,689.251,788.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate0.54%1.54%2.54%
Year 1 PV (M)989.58999.421,009.27
Year 2 PV (M)1,048.851,069.821,091.00
Year 3 PV (M)1,098.311,131.411,165.17
Year 4 PV (M)1,138.861,184.851,232.22
Year 5 PV (M)1,171.361,230.791,292.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,054.7236,833.1338,683.00
Equity Value (M)40,501.6942,449.4344,473.26
Shares Outstanding (M)76.6476.6476.64
Fair Value$528.44$553.85$580.25
Upside / Downside190.35%204.31%218.82%

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