DDM Analysis: NESN.SW

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$77.85 - $120.88	$97.75
Multi-Stage	$185.21 - $203.69	$194.27
Blended Fair Value	$146.01
Current Price	$78.83
Upside	85.22%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	1.57%	1.31%	3.00	3.01	2.93	2.95	2.96	2.78	2.74	2.74	2.67	2.67
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.17%	2.77%	-0.82%	-0.25%	6.50%	1.49%	-0.03%	2.72%	-0.19%	1.27%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.01%	3.09%	2.73%	2.32%	2.84%	2.65%	3.37%	3.27%	3.65%	3.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	21,509.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	15,665.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,844.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4,301.80	2,688.63	1,613.18
Cash Retained (M)	5,844.00	5,844.00	5,844.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4,301.80	-2,688.63	-1,613.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,542.20	3,155.38	4,230.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,601.48	2,601.48	2,601.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.59	1.21	1.63
LTM Dividend per Share	6.02	6.02	6.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.59	1.21	1.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.61	7.23	7.65
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-2.02%	-1.02%	-0.02%
Fair Value	$77.85	$97.75	$120.88
Upside / Downside	-1.25%	24.01%	53.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	21,509.00	21,290.51	21,074.24	20,860.17	20,648.28	20,438.53	21,051.69
Payout Ratio	72.83%	76.26%	79.70%	83.13%	86.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	15,665.00	16,236.99	16,795.75	17,341.48	17,874.39	18,394.68	19,472.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-2.02%	-1.02%	-0.02%
Year 1 PV (M)	15,118.98	15,273.28	15,427.58
Year 2 PV (M)	14,562.41	14,861.16	15,162.96
Year 3 PV (M)	14,000.28	14,433.32	14,875.20
Year 4 PV (M)	13,436.89	13,993.88	14,568.01
Year 5 PV (M)	12,875.88	13,546.46	14,244.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)	411,825.17	433,273.39	455,606.08
Equity Value (M)	481,819.61	505,381.50	529,884.53
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,601.48	2,601.48	2,601.48
Fair Value	$185.21	$194.27	$203.69
Upside / Downside	134.95%	146.44%	158.39%

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0O1O.L	Vetoquinol S.A.	2.07%	$1.74	19.10%
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7965.T	Zojirushi Corporation	2.07%	$32.35	36.35%
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TRTN	Triton International Limited	2.07%	$1.65	28.50%
001219.SZ	Qingdao Foods CO.,LTD.	2.06%	$0.29	55.25%
002351.SZ	Edifier Technology Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$0.25	53.80%
004830.KS	Duksung Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$100.30	19.66%
600120.SS	Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$0.13	32.28%
600143.SS	Kingfa Sci. & Tech. Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$0.40	85.82%
7735.T	SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$314.43	32.13%
ALSO3.SA	Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers S.A.	2.06%	$0.52	9.27%
MLIA.JK	PT Mulia Industrindo Tbk	2.06%	$6.98	27.72%
REA.AX	REA Group Limited	2.06%	$3.81	51.46%
THEON.AS	Theon International PLC	2.06%	$0.55	52.53%
000902.SZ	YONFER Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd.	2.05%	$0.32	26.06%
002938.SZ	Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co., Limited	2.05%	$1.04	59.37%
036930.KQ	JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co., Ltd.	2.05%	$625.50	45.79%
086280.KS	Hyundai Glovis Co., Ltd.	2.05%	$3,700.10	19.97%
2730.T	EDION Corporation	2.05%	$43.41	30.64%
4191.SR	Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores Company	2.05%	$1.01	76.56%
9527.SR	Ame Company For Medical Supplies	2.05%	$2.00	27.73%
BMIN3.SA	Banco Mercantil de Investimentos S.A.	2.05%	$0.47	28.32%
GUAR3.SA	Guararapes Confecções S.A.	2.05%	$0.18	20.09%
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2869.HK	Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd.	2.04%	$0.09	17.96%
450330.KQ	Hass	2.04%	$131.79	35.27%
605589.SS	Jinan Shengquan Group Share Holding Co., Ltd.	2.04%	$0.58	44.86%
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CSAP.JK	PT Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk	2.04%	$6.50	30.53%
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2476.TW	G-SHANK Enterprise Co., Ltd.	2.03%	$1.85	49.48%
2852.KL	Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad	2.03%	$0.03	28.80%
3788.HK	China Hanking Holdings Limited	2.03%	$0.08	36.16%
4004.SR	Dallah Healthcare Company	2.03%	$2.54	49.37%
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Nestlé S.A. (NESN.SW)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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