Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Abrdn Healthcare Investors (HQH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.16 - $51.14$42.90
Multi-Stage$57.85 - $63.68$60.71
Blended Fair Value$51.80
Current Price$16.05
Upside222.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)241.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)224.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.2630.1618.10
Cash Retained (M)224.50224.50224.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.26-30.16-18.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)176.25194.34206.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.7950.7950.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.473.834.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.473.834.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.804.164.39
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$35.16$42.90$51.14
Upside / Downside119.06%167.27%218.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)241.28238.87236.48234.12231.77229.46236.34
Payout Ratio6.95%23.56%40.17%56.78%73.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.7856.2895.00132.93170.10206.51218.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.59%8.59%8.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)51.3151.8352.35
Year 2 PV (M)78.9480.5682.19
Year 3 PV (M)100.69103.81106.98
Year 4 PV (M)117.45122.32127.33
Year 5 PV (M)129.98136.75143.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,459.752,587.832,721.20
Equity Value (M)2,938.113,083.083,233.85
Shares Outstanding (M)50.7950.7950.79
Fair Value$57.85$60.71$63.68
Upside / Downside260.45%278.24%296.74%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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