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Definitive Analysis

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First Trust Senior Floating Rate Income Fund II (FCT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.46 - $22.04$18.01
Multi-Stage$31.26 - $34.36$32.78
Blended Fair Value$25.40
Current Price$9.91
Upside156.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.90%3.05%0.930.930.710.781.000.770.600.630.680.72
YoY Growth--0.00%31.30%-8.55%-22.58%30.22%29.07%-4.86%-7.78%-6.10%4.86%
Dividend Yield--9.40%8.89%7.42%7.11%8.02%6.94%4.97%4.82%4.99%5.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)35.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.626.643.98
Cash Retained (M)17.3017.3017.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.62-6.64-3.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.6810.6613.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.4832.4832.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.330.41
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.330.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.311.431.51
WACC / Discount Rate6.86%6.86%6.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$14.46$18.01$22.04
Upside / Downside45.96%81.78%122.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53.1052.5752.0451.5251.0150.5052.01
Payout Ratio67.42%71.94%76.45%80.97%85.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)35.8037.8139.7941.7243.6045.4548.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.86%6.86%6.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)35.0335.3935.74
Year 2 PV (M)34.1434.8435.55
Year 3 PV (M)33.1634.1835.23
Year 4 PV (M)32.1133.4434.81
Year 5 PV (M)31.0032.6134.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)849.89894.14940.22
Equity Value (M)1,015.321,064.601,115.85
Shares Outstanding (M)32.4832.4832.48
Fair Value$31.26$32.78$34.36
Upside / Downside215.45%230.76%246.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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