DDM Analysis: EXP

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$264.04 - $581.00	$379.73
Multi-Stage	$187.68 - $205.16	$196.26
Blended Fair Value	$288.00
Current Price	$233.04
Upside	23.58%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	14.49%	5.33%	1.02	1.06	1.13	0.93	0.13	0.52	0.57	0.59	0.58	0.60
YoY Growth	-	-	-4.46%	-5.86%	21.86%	639.13%	-75.71%	-9.43%	-2.63%	0.50%	-3.39%	-0.26%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.50%	0.50%	0.61%	0.84%	0.09%	0.74%	0.65%	0.56%	0.63%	0.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	446.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	33.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)	413.45

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	89.36	55.85	33.51
Cash Retained (M)	413.45	413.45	413.45
(-) Cash Required (M)	-89.36	-55.85	-33.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)	324.09	357.60	379.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	33.18	33.18	33.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share	9.77	10.78	11.45
LTM Dividend per Share	1.01	1.01	1.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	9.77	10.78	11.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.77	11.78	12.46
WACC / Discount Rate	9.80%	9.80%	9.80%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$264.04	$379.73	$581.00
Upside / Downside	13.30%	62.95%	149.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	446.80	475.84	506.77	539.71	574.79	612.15	630.52
Payout Ratio	7.46%	23.97%	40.48%	56.99%	73.49%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	33.35	114.07	205.13	307.56	422.43	550.94	583.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.80%	9.80%	9.80%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	102.91	103.88	104.86
Year 2 PV (M)	166.96	170.14	173.35
Year 3 PV (M)	225.82	232.31	238.91
Year 4 PV (M)	279.82	290.58	301.65
Year 5 PV (M)	329.24	345.14	361.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,121.71	5,369.09	5,625.94
Equity Value (M)	6,226.45	6,511.14	6,806.35
Shares Outstanding (M)	33.18	33.18	33.18
Fair Value	$187.68	$196.26	$205.16
Upside / Downside	-19.46%	-15.78%	-11.96%

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Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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