Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Entergy Corporation (ETR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$72.45 - $149.74$101.91
Multi-Stage$86.61 - $94.84$90.65
Blended Fair Value$96.28
Current Price$93.19
Upside3.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.65%5.11%2.222.071.901.751.691.611.461.421.381.35
YoY Growth--6.91%9.09%8.59%3.58%5.17%9.86%2.99%2.79%2.16%0.47%
Dividend Yield--2.59%3.96%3.53%3.00%3.40%3.42%3.10%3.61%3.64%3.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,817.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,042.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)775.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)363.52227.20136.32
Cash Retained (M)775.25775.25775.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-363.52-227.20-136.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)411.73548.05638.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)442.51442.51442.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.931.241.44
LTM Dividend per Share2.362.362.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.931.241.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.293.593.80
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate2.65%3.65%4.65%
Fair Value$72.45$101.91$149.74
Upside / Downside-22.25%9.36%60.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,817.591,883.891,952.612,023.842,097.662,174.182,239.40
Payout Ratio57.35%63.88%70.41%76.94%83.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,042.341,203.391,374.801,557.121,750.911,956.762,071.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate2.65%3.65%4.65%
Year 1 PV (M)1,110.671,121.491,132.31
Year 2 PV (M)1,171.101,194.031,217.18
Year 3 PV (M)1,224.201,260.331,297.16
Year 4 PV (M)1,270.491,320.731,372.44
Year 5 PV (M)1,310.461,375.551,443.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,238.8133,840.0735,504.33
Equity Value (M)38,325.7340,112.1941,966.62
Shares Outstanding (M)442.51442.51442.51
Fair Value$86.61$90.65$94.84
Upside / Downside-7.06%-2.73%1.77%

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