DDM Analysis: ENGI.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$67.63 - $149.43	$97.41
Multi-Stage	$91.92 - $100.72	$96.24
Blended Fair Value	$96.83
Current Price	$19.93
Upside	385.83%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	11.82%	1.09%	1.71	1.67	1.10	0.76	0.26	0.98	1.04	1.18	1.30	1.28
YoY Growth	-	-	1.97%	52.61%	43.36%	199.36%	-73.82%	-6.47%	-11.67%	-9.00%	1.54%	-16.48%
Dividend Yield	-	-	11.14%	10.51%	8.19%	5.88%	2.04%	6.77%	8.32%	8.30%	10.71%	7.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	8,622.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6,633.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,989.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,724.50	1,077.81	646.69
Cash Retained (M)	1,989.50	1,989.50	1,989.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,724.50	-1,077.81	-646.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)	265.00	911.69	1,342.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,431.55	2,431.55	2,431.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.37	0.55
LTM Dividend per Share	2.73	2.73	2.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.37	0.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.84	3.10	3.28
WACC / Discount Rate	6.50%	6.50%	6.50%
Growth Rate	2.21%	3.21%	4.21%
Fair Value	$67.63	$97.41	$149.43
Upside / Downside	239.33%	388.78%	649.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	8,622.50	8,899.32	9,185.03	9,479.91	9,784.25	10,098.37	10,401.32
Payout Ratio	76.93%	79.54%	82.16%	84.77%	87.39%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6,633.00	7,078.64	7,546.05	8,036.18	8,550.00	9,088.53	9,621.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.50%	6.50%	6.50%
Growth Rate	2.21%	3.21%	4.21%
Year 1 PV (M)	6,582.34	6,646.74	6,711.14
Year 2 PV (M)	6,525.00	6,653.31	6,782.86
Year 3 PV (M)	6,461.62	6,653.14	6,848.40
Year 4 PV (M)	6,392.76	6,646.64	6,908.00
Year 5 PV (M)	6,318.97	6,634.20	6,961.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)	191,238.14	200,778.11	210,695.06
Equity Value (M)	223,518.83	234,012.12	244,907.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,431.55	2,431.55	2,431.55
Fair Value	$91.92	$96.24	$100.72
Upside / Downside	361.24%	382.89%	405.37%

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Engie S.A. (ENGI.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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