Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Digital Value S.p.A. (DGV.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.56 - $86.99$70.73
Multi-Stage$122.06 - $134.53$128.17
Blended Fair Value$99.45
Current Price$30.60
Upside225.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.940.840.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--11.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.87%1.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.487.804.68
Cash Retained (M)52.9652.9652.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.48-7.80-4.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)40.4945.1748.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.0710.0710.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.024.494.80
LTM Dividend per Share0.940.940.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.024.494.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.965.425.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.59%6.59%6.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$56.56$70.73$86.99
Upside / Downside84.84%131.15%184.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.3861.7661.1460.5359.9259.3261.10
Payout Ratio15.10%30.08%45.06%60.04%75.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.4218.5727.5536.3444.9553.3956.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.59%6.59%6.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)17.2517.4317.60
Year 2 PV (M)23.7624.2524.74
Year 3 PV (M)29.1130.0130.93
Year 4 PV (M)33.4434.8336.26
Year 5 PV (M)36.8938.8140.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,088.511,145.191,204.21
Equity Value (M)1,228.961,290.511,354.54
Shares Outstanding (M)10.0710.0710.07
Fair Value$122.06$128.17$134.53
Upside / Downside298.87%318.85%339.64%

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