Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$194.96 - $669.44$320.61
Multi-Stage$628.29 - $692.63$659.83
Blended Fair Value$490.22
Current Price$162.01
Upside202.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%1.811.521.370.000.000.003.030.000.000.00
YoY Growth--18.94%11.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.91%1.22%3.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%8.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,210.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,424.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,786.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,042.00651.25390.75
Cash Retained (M)3,786.003,786.003,786.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,042.00-651.25-390.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,744.003,134.753,395.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)704.76704.76704.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.894.454.82
LTM Dividend per Share2.022.022.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.894.454.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.916.476.84
WACC / Discount Rate3.46%3.46%3.46%
Growth Rate0.42%1.42%2.42%
Fair Value$194.96$320.61$669.44
Upside / Downside20.34%97.89%313.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,210.005,283.765,358.575,434.445,511.385,589.415,757.10
Payout Ratio27.33%39.87%52.40%64.93%77.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,424.002,106.412,807.853,528.744,269.475,030.475,325.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.46%3.46%3.46%
Growth Rate0.42%1.42%2.42%
Year 1 PV (M)2,015.852,035.922,056.00
Year 2 PV (M)2,571.612,623.092,675.07
Year 3 PV (M)3,092.903,186.233,281.41
Year 4 PV (M)3,581.273,726.073,875.22
Year 5 PV (M)4,038.194,243.314,456.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)427,487.71449,201.78471,789.39
Equity Value (M)442,787.53465,016.40488,133.77
Shares Outstanding (M)704.76704.76704.76
Fair Value$628.29$659.83$692.63
Upside / Downside287.81%307.28%327.52%

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