DDM Analysis: ALU10.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.24 - $0.35	$0.30
Multi-Stage	$0.46 - $0.50	$0.48
Blended Fair Value	$0.39
Current Price	$1.38
Upside	-71.81%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.86%	-25.69%	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.18	0.33	0.23	0.23
YoY Growth	-	-	-87.51%	33,925.00%	-97.88%	11.18%	39.34%	-96.07%	-45.65%	46.01%	0.98%	16.85%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.66%	7.24%	0.02%	0.58%	0.72%	0.41%	9.55%	9.22%	6.35%	5.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	0.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)	0.21

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.11	0.07	0.04
Cash Retained (M)	0.21	0.21	0.21
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.10	0.14	0.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	17.09	17.09	17.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.01	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.01	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.03	0.03	0.03
WACC / Discount Rate	7.94%	7.94%	7.94%
Growth Rate	-2.21%	-1.21%	-0.21%
Fair Value	$0.24	$0.30	$0.35
Upside / Downside	-82.51%	-78.56%	-74.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	0.54	0.53	0.52	0.52	0.51	0.50	0.52
Payout Ratio	61.68%	67.35%	73.01%	78.67%	84.34%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.33	0.36	0.38	0.41	0.43	0.45	0.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.94%	7.94%	7.94%
Growth Rate	-2.21%	-1.21%	-0.21%
Year 1 PV (M)	0.33	0.33	0.33
Year 2 PV (M)	0.32	0.33	0.33
Year 3 PV (M)	0.31	0.32	0.33
Year 4 PV (M)	0.30	0.32	0.33
Year 5 PV (M)	0.29	0.31	0.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6.30	6.63	6.98
Equity Value (M)	7.86	8.24	8.63
Shares Outstanding (M)	17.09	17.09	17.09
Fair Value	$0.46	$0.48	$0.50
Upside / Downside	-66.66%	-65.07%	-63.41%

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U10 Corp (ALU10.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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