Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Vt Holdings Co.,Ltd. (7593.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,185.24 - $4,113.80$1,954.00
Multi-Stage$785.09 - $856.76$820.28
Blended Fair Value$1,387.14
Current Price$472.00
Upside193.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.27%5.80%23.9023.2121.5720.0119.2319.3918.4317.4915.5516.53
YoY Growth--2.99%7.62%7.76%4.08%-0.85%5.25%5.34%12.49%-5.90%21.43%
Dividend Yield--5.06%4.52%3.94%4.15%4.17%5.51%4.32%3.00%2.81%3.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,146.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,904.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,242.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,029.20643.25385.95
Cash Retained (M)2,242.002,242.002,242.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,029.20-643.25-385.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,212.801,598.751,856.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)121.03121.03121.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.0213.2115.34
LTM Dividend per Share23.9923.9923.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.0213.2115.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend34.0237.2039.33
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,185.24$1,954.00$4,113.80
Upside / Downside151.11%313.98%771.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,146.005,480.495,836.726,216.116,620.167,050.477,261.98
Payout Ratio56.43%63.15%69.86%76.57%83.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,904.003,460.704,077.494,759.855,513.696,345.426,717.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.53%8.53%8.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,158.823,188.773,218.71
Year 2 PV (M)3,397.173,461.883,527.19
Year 3 PV (M)3,619.763,723.673,829.55
Year 4 PV (M)3,827.283,974.474,125.86
Year 5 PV (M)4,020.414,214.604,416.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)76,994.1880,713.0384,574.20
Equity Value (M)95,017.6399,276.41103,691.73
Shares Outstanding (M)121.03121.03121.03
Fair Value$785.09$820.28$856.76
Upside / Downside66.33%73.79%81.52%

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