DDM Analysis: 688269.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$31.62 - $171.49	$61.73
Multi-Stage	$18.64 - $20.35	$19.48
Blended Fair Value	$40.61
Current Price	$40.90
Upside	-0.72%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	20.71%	13.44%	0.59	0.74	0.75	0.48	0.45	0.23	0.21	0.17	0.09	0.14
YoY Growth	-	-	-20.19%	-1.05%	54.64%	6.57%	96.95%	12.33%	18.10%	87.90%	-34.36%	-15.87%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.19%	2.56%	0.99%	0.74%	0.80%	0.41%	0.36%	0.31%	0.16%	0.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	111.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	76.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)	35.37

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	22.33	13.96	8.37
Cash Retained (M)	35.37	35.37	35.37
(-) Cash Required (M)	-22.33	-13.96	-8.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)	13.04	21.42	27.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	129.50	129.50	129.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.17	0.21
LTM Dividend per Share	0.59	0.59	0.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.17	0.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.69	0.75	0.80
WACC / Discount Rate	7.80%	7.80%	7.80%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$31.62	$61.73	$171.49
Upside / Downside	-22.69%	50.94%	319.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	111.66	118.92	126.65	134.89	143.65	152.99	157.58
Payout Ratio	68.32%	72.66%	76.99%	81.33%	85.66%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	76.29	86.41	97.51	109.70	123.06	137.69	145.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.80%	7.80%	7.80%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	79.40	80.15	80.91
Year 2 PV (M)	82.34	83.91	85.49
Year 3 PV (M)	85.12	87.57	90.06
Year 4 PV (M)	87.75	91.12	94.59
Year 5 PV (M)	90.22	94.58	99.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,989.02	2,085.09	2,184.84
Equity Value (M)	2,413.85	2,522.41	2,634.98
Shares Outstanding (M)	129.50	129.50	129.50
Fair Value	$18.64	$19.48	$20.35
Upside / Downside	-54.42%	-52.37%	-50.25%

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Kaili Catalyst & New Materials Co.,Ltd. (688269.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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