DDM Analysis: 6049.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$494.37 - $1,078.13	$1,010.37
Multi-Stage	$161.48 - $176.82	$169.01
Blended Fair Value	$589.69
Current Price	$30.24
Upside	1,850.03%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	28.11%	0.00%	1.00	0.51	0.31	0.43	0.30	0.29	0.38	0.00	0.10	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	98.41%	64.92%	-29.07%	43.33%	3.75%	-23.81%	0.00%	-100.00%	320.62%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.52%	1.94%	0.75%	0.87%	0.59%	0.70%	0.96%	0.00%	0.24%	0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,981.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	830.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,150.52

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	596.22	372.63	223.58
Cash Retained (M)	2,150.52	2,150.52	2,150.52
(-) Cash Required (M)	-596.22	-372.63	-223.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,554.31	1,777.89	1,926.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	549.90	549.90	549.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.83	3.23	3.50
LTM Dividend per Share	1.51	1.51	1.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.83	3.23	3.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.34	4.74	5.01
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$494.37	$1,010.37	$1,078.13
Upside / Downside	1,534.82%	3,241.16%	3,465.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,981.08	3,174.85	3,381.21	3,600.99	3,835.06	4,084.33	4,206.86
Payout Ratio	27.86%	40.29%	52.72%	65.14%	77.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	830.55	1,279.10	1,782.46	2,345.84	2,974.94	3,675.90	3,891.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,190.59	1,201.88	1,213.16
Year 2 PV (M)	1,544.31	1,573.72	1,603.41
Year 3 PV (M)	1,891.78	1,946.08	2,001.42
Year 4 PV (M)	2,233.09	2,318.97	2,407.30
Year 5 PV (M)	2,568.32	2,692.37	2,821.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)	79,370.71	83,204.35	87,184.70
Equity Value (M)	88,798.80	92,937.37	97,231.17
Shares Outstanding (M)	549.90	549.90	549.90
Fair Value	$161.48	$169.01	$176.82
Upside / Downside	434.00%	458.89%	484.71%

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Ticker ⇵	Company ⇵	Dividend Yield % ▼	Dividend Per Share ⇵	Payout Ratio % ⇵
6101.T	Tsugami Corporation	2.08%	$59.70	21.18%
9549.SR	Abdulaziz and Mansour Ibrahim Albabtin Co.	2.08%	$0.50	29.71%
FPAR-A.ST	FastPartner AB (publ)	2.08%	$0.97	55.03%
GRNG.ST	Gränges AB (publ)	2.08%	$3.09	34.78%
ZGN	Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.	2.08%	$0.22	28.26%
000983.SZ	Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Co.,Ltd.	2.07%	$0.13	44.44%
006090.KS	Oyang Corporation	2.07%	$187.55	43.67%
0O1O.L	Vetoquinol S.A.	2.07%	$1.74	19.10%
1748.HK	Xin Yuan Enterprises Group Limited	2.07%	$0.04	62.70%
4677.KL	YTL Corporation Berhad	2.07%	$0.04	26.42%
603136.SS	Jiangsu Tianmu Lake Tourism Co.,Ltd	2.07%	$0.24	64.23%
7965.T	Zojirushi Corporation	2.07%	$32.35	36.35%
MRSA3B.SA	MRS Logística S.A.	2.07%	$0.81	18.86%
OCL.AX	Objective Corporation Limited	2.07%	$0.34	57.76%
TRTN	Triton International Limited	2.07%	$1.65	28.50%
001219.SZ	Qingdao Foods CO.,LTD.	2.06%	$0.29	55.25%
002351.SZ	Edifier Technology Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$0.25	53.80%
004830.KS	Duksung Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$100.30	19.66%
600120.SS	Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$0.13	32.28%
600143.SS	Kingfa Sci. & Tech. Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$0.40	85.82%
7735.T	SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.06%	$314.43	32.13%
ALSO3.SA	Aliansce Sonae Shopping Centers S.A.	2.06%	$0.52	9.27%
MLIA.JK	PT Mulia Industrindo Tbk	2.06%	$6.98	27.72%
REA.AX	REA Group Limited	2.06%	$3.81	51.46%
THEON.AS	Theon International PLC	2.06%	$0.55	52.53%
000902.SZ	YONFER Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd.	2.05%	$0.32	26.06%
002938.SZ	Avary Holding(Shenzhen)Co., Limited	2.05%	$1.04	59.37%
036930.KQ	JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co., Ltd.	2.05%	$625.50	45.79%
086280.KS	Hyundai Glovis Co., Ltd.	2.05%	$3,700.10	19.97%
2730.T	EDION Corporation	2.05%	$43.41	30.64%
4191.SR	Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores Company	2.05%	$1.01	76.56%
9527.SR	Ame Company For Medical Supplies	2.05%	$2.00	27.73%
BMIN3.SA	Banco Mercantil de Investimentos S.A.	2.05%	$0.47	28.32%
GUAR3.SA	Guararapes Confecções S.A.	2.05%	$0.18	20.09%
MGROS.IS	Migros Ticaret A.S.	2.05%	$10.88	31.41%
MLL.DE	Müller - Die lila Logistik AG	2.05%	$0.10	6.76%
RAY-A.TO	Stingray Group Inc.	2.05%	$0.30	39.32%
VIVA3.SA	Vivara Participações S.A.	2.05%	$0.66	20.93%
268280.KS	Miwon Specialty Chemical Co., Ltd.	2.04%	$2,814.57	22.79%
2869.HK	Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd.	2.04%	$0.09	17.96%
450330.KQ	Hass	2.04%	$131.79	35.27%
605589.SS	Jinan Shengquan Group Share Holding Co., Ltd.	2.04%	$0.58	44.86%
CEK.DE	CeoTronics AG	2.04%	$0.26	34.71%
CSAP.JK	PT Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk	2.04%	$6.50	30.53%
ROTH.PA	Rothschild & Co SCA	2.04%	$0.78	13.71%
2476.TW	G-SHANK Enterprise Co., Ltd.	2.03%	$1.85	49.48%
2852.KL	Cahya Mata Sarawak Berhad	2.03%	$0.03	28.80%
3788.HK	China Hanking Holdings Limited	2.03%	$0.08	36.16%
4004.SR	Dallah Healthcare Company	2.03%	$2.54	49.37%
601607.SS	Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding Co., Ltd	2.03%	$0.36	23.77%

Financial Statements

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Sector

Poly Property Services Co., Ltd. (6049.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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